Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 6

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Avaí U20		São Paulo U20

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.85	1.55
	5.37	4.16	1.59
	5.03	4.26	1.53	Watch
	5	3.7	1.53
	4.48	3.93	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.93 ↓ (5.01)	3.98 ↓ (4.15)	1.57 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avaí U20
18.6%

Draw
23%

São Paulo U20
58.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.4%

22.2%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

21.5%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avaí U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

São Paulo U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí U20 than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo U20 than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Avaí U20 - São Paulo U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
68', 1 - 2, ⚽,
75', 1 - 3, ⚽,
79', 2 - 3, ⚽,
80', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 11).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

São Paulo U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, São Paulo U20 is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avaí U20
Brazilian Catarinense U20
12.04.26	Chapecoense U20 - Avaí U20	1:3 ✺
Brasileiro U20
08.04.26	Bahia U20 - Avaí U20	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Catarinense U20
04.04.26	Avaí U20 - Barra Santa Catarina U20	2:2 ✺
Brasileiro U20
01.04.26	Fluminense U20 - Avaí U20	3:3 ✺
02.03.26	Avaí U20 - Red Bull Bragantino U20	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WLTTT
- São Paulo U20
Brasileiro U20
08.04.26	São Paulo U20 - Fluminense U20	1:0 ✺
01.04.26	São Paulo U20 - Grêmio U20	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Vasco da Gama U20 - São Paulo U20	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Palmeiras U20 - São Paulo U20	3:3 ✺
20.02.26	São Paulo U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLTW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
01.11.26	Palmeiras U20 - São Paulo U20	✺

Avaí U20 - São Paulo U20