Match Info

Date: 25 October 2021, Monday


	Avangard Kursk		Fakel Voronezh 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.38	4.2	7.25
	1.37	4.4	6.5
	1.3	4.6	7
	1.29	5.03	7.39
	1.28	5.2	8.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.34)	4.69 ↑ (4.4)	7.39 ↓ (8.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avangard Kursk
68.4%

Draw
19.3%

Fakel Voronezh 2
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

20.8%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

79.3%

17.9%

9.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Avangard Kursk have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Fakel Voronezh 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avangard Kursk than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avangard Kursk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel Voronezh 2 than the current prediction. (-3%)

Avangard Kursk - Fakel Voronezh 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Avangard Kursk is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fakel 2 has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Avangard Kursk have a series of guest games.

In this match Avangard Kursk is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Avangard Kursk won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Avangard Kursk won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avangard Kursk
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
19.10.21	Ryazan - Avangard Kursk	1:0 ✺
14.10.21	Avangard Kursk - Sokol Saratov	0:0 ✺
10.10.21	Zenit Penza - Avangard Kursk	3:1 ✺
04.10.21	Arsenal 2 Tula - Avangard Kursk	0:2 ✺
30.09.21	Kaluga - Avangard Kursk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LTLWL
- Fakel Voronezh 2
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
19.10.21	Fakel Voronezh 2 - Sokol Saratov	0:0 ✺
14.10.21	Fakel Voronezh 2 - Zenit Penza	0:3 ✺
10.10.21	Fakel Voronezh 2 - Dynamo Bryansk	0:2 ✺
02.10.21	Sakhalin - Fakel Voronezh 2	1:0 ✺
30.09.21	Dynamo Vladivostok - Fakel Voronezh 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 3
20.08.21	Fakel Voronezh 2 - Avangard Kursk	1:2
23.04.21	Avangard Kursk - Fakel Voronezh 2	0:0
11.10.20	Fakel Voronezh 2 - Avangard Kursk	1:0

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