Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 18

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Arsenal 2 Tula		Avangard Kursk

	1	X	2
	4.23	2.98	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↑ (4.02)	2.98 ↑ (2.94)	1.97 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal 2 Tula
21.9%

Draw
31.1%

Avangard Kursk
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

30.9%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

25.3%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal 2 Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Avangard Kursk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal 2 Tula than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal 2 Tula, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avangard Kursk than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avangard Kursk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Arsenal 2 Tula - Avangard Kursk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 1 - 0, Kuzin A. ⚽,
64', 1 - 1, Borisov S. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal 2 Tula won 2.

Arsenal 2 Tula is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Avangard Kursk's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Avangard Kursk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Avangard Kursk has had a series of home games.

Avangard Kursk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Arsenal 2 Tula won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 1:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal 2 Tula won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Kursk	26	8	8	10	31:38	-7	32
14	Arsenal Tula 2	26	2	10	14	20:47	-27	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal 2 Tula
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
01.08.26	Volna Kovernino - Arsenal 2 Tula	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Arsenal 2 Tula - Ryazan	0:5 ✺
04.07.26	Kvant Obninsk - Arsenal 2 Tula	3:1 ✺
28.06.26	Arsenal 2 Tula - Salyut Belgorod	0:4 ✺
20.06.26	Oryol - Arsenal 2 Tula	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Avangard Kursk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
01.08.26	Avangard Kursk - Strogino Moskva	1:3 ✺
25.07.26	Avangard Kursk - SKA Khabarovsk 2	1:2 ✺
04.07.26	Avangard Kursk - Spartak Tambov	0:2 ✺
27.06.26	Avangard Kursk - Saturn Ramenskoye	6:3 ✺
20.06.26	Volna Kovernino - Avangard Kursk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
18.04.26	Avangard Kursk - Arsenal 2 Tula	0:2
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
04.09.22	Avangard Kursk - Arsenal 2 Tula	2:2
04.10.21	Arsenal 2 Tula - Avangard Kursk	0:2
24.07.21	Avangard Kursk - Arsenal 2 Tula	1:4
Russian PFL Center
12.11.16	Avangard Kursk - Arsenal 2 Tula	2:0
18.08.16	Arsenal 2 Tula - Avangard Kursk	1:2
23.05.16	Avangard Kursk - Arsenal 2 Tula	5:0

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