Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 12

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday


	Strogino Moskva		Oryol

	1	X	2
	4.56	3.19	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.56 ↑ (3.94)	3.19 ↑ (2.94)	1.83 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strogino Moskva
20.3%

Draw
29%

Oryol
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

30.9%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

30%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strogino Moskva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Oryol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strogino Moskva than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oryol than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Strogino Moskva - Oryol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Alekseenkov A. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Arsentjev D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
59', 2 - 1, Fateev M. (Own goal),
75', 2 - 2, Arsentjev D. ⚽,
90', 2 - 3, Bugaenko I. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 8).

In recent matches, Strogino has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Oryol is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Oryol has had a series of home games.

In this match, Oryol is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Strogino won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:13. (average 0.5:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Strogino won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Oryol	26	8	5	13	29:44	-15	29
11	FK Strogino Moscow	26	8	4	14	31:43	-12	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Strogino Moskva
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
06.06.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Strogino Moskva	2:0 ✺
30.05.26	Strogino Moskva - Metallurg Lipetsk	2:2 ✺
23.05.26	Zenit Penza - Strogino Moskva	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	Strogino Moskva - Arsenal 2 Tula	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Saturn Ramenskoye - Strogino Moskva	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.7 LTLWT
- FC Oryol
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
06.06.26	Oryol - SKA Khabarovsk 2	1:1 ✺
31.05.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Oryol	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Oryol - Spartak Tambov	1:5 ✺
16.05.26	Oryol - Avangard Kursk	1:0 ✺
08.05.26	Oryol - Volna Kovernino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
18.10.25	Oryol - Strogino Moskva	5:0
29.06.25	Strogino Moskva - Oryol	2:4
27.10.24	Strogino Moskva - Oryol	0:2
07.07.24	Oryol - Strogino Moskva	2:0

Strogino Moskva - Oryol: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide