Match Info

DENMARK: 3rd Division

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday


	Avarta		VSK Aarhus

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.3	2.1
	3	3.4	2.15
	2.96	3.37	2.21
	2.97	3.46	2.17	Watch
	3.4	3.45	1.94
	3	3.4	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.33)	3.4 ↓ (3.75)	2.12 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avarta
30.1%

Draw
26.9%

VSK Aarhus
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

24.1%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

23.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avarta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

VSK Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and VSK Aarhus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avarta than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VSK Aarhus than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that VSK Aarhus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Avarta - VSK Aarhus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 in the zone 3rd Division (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 3rd Division (Promotion Group: )).

Avarta has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

VSK Aarhus is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Avarta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

VSK Aarhus will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Avarta won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.3:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Avarta won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avarta
Danish 3 Division
04.10.24	Sundby - Avarta	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Avarta - FA 2000	0:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
26.09.24	Avarta - Esbjerg	2:3 ✺
Danish 3 Division
22.09.24	Avarta - Lyseng	2:2 ✺
13.09.24	Brønshøj BK - Avarta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- VSK Aarhus
Danish 3 Division
05.10.24	VSK Aarhus - Brønshøj BK	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Odder - VSK Aarhus	1:4 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
25.09.24	VSK Aarhus - AGF Aarhus	0:2 ✺
Danish 3 Division
22.09.24	Holstebro - VSK Aarhus	2:2 ✺
15.09.24	VSK Aarhus - FA 2000	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 3 Division
18.05.24	VSK Aarhus - Avarta	1:0
28.04.24	Avarta - VSK Aarhus	2:0
01.04.24	VSK Aarhus - Avarta	6:2
10.09.23	Avarta - VSK Aarhus	1:0

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