Match Info

DENMARK: 3rd Division

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday


	Holstebro		VSK Aarhus

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.7	2
	4.2	3.6	1.75
	2.76	4.05	2.04
	2.86	4.12	2.02
	3.1	3.68	1.99
	3.5	3.5	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↓ (3.72)	3.78 ↑ (3.75)	1.95 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holstebro
28.6%

Draw
24.3%

VSK Aarhus
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

24.3%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

24%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstebro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

VSK Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstebro than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VSK Aarhus than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Holstebro - VSK Aarhus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
74', 1 - 2, ⚽,
87', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 in the zone 3rd Division (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 3rd Division (Promotion Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Holstebro won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

VSK Aarhus could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Holstebro have a series of guest games.

In this match VSK Aarhus is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Holstebro won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Holstebro won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstebro BK
Danish 3 Division
13.09.24	Odder - Holstebro	3:1 ✺
07.09.24	FA 2000 - Holstebro	4:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
03.09.24	Young Boys FD - Holstebro	1:3 ✺
Danish 3 Division
31.08.24	Holstebro - Avarta	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Lyseng - Holstebro	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWLW
- VSK Aarhus
Danish 3 Division
15.09.24	VSK Aarhus - FA 2000	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	Næsby - VSK Aarhus	4:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
03.09.24	VSK Aarhus - Aarhus Fremad	2:1 ✺
Danish 3 Division
30.08.24	VSK Aarhus - Young Boys FD	3:0 ✺
24.08.24	Holbæk - VSK Aarhus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.02.24	Holstebro - VSK Aarhus	0:3
Danish 3 Division
18.11.23	Holstebro - VSK Aarhus	1:2
14.10.23	VSK Aarhus - Holstebro	0:1
13.11.22	Holstebro - VSK Aarhus	1:1
20.08.22	VSK Aarhus - Holstebro	3:1
Danish 2 Division - Group 1
15.05.21	VSK Aarhus - Holstebro	1:2
04.10.20	Holstebro - VSK Aarhus	0:1

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