Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 37

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Aveley		Cray Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.6
	1.91	3.6	3.53
	1.88	3.71	3.49	Watch
	1.85	3.25	3.5
	1.84	3.44	3.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.84)	3.48 ↓ (3.89)	3.57 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aveley
48.6%

Draw
26%

Cray Wanderers
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

23.6%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

24.6%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Cray Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cray Wanderers than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Aveley - Cray Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Adaja L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
57', 0 - 2, Sutton R. ⚽,
81', 1 - 2, Nash L. ⚽,
90', 2 - 2, Nash L. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 3, Fiddes M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 7).

Recent performances by Aveley have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cray is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Aveley could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Aveley won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Aveley won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Cray Wanderers: 3.29% Aveley: 2.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Cray Wanderers	8	3	3	2	18:12	6	12
16	Aveley	10	3	1	6	17:18	-1	10

Last Results with these Odds

Cray Wanderers - the odds 3.48 are the expected chance of winning is 26.41%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aveley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.03.26	Aveley - Cheshunt	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Billericay Town - Aveley	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Aveley - Whitehawk	4:2 ✺
28.02.26	Ramsgate - Aveley	1:1 ✺
24.02.26	Cheshunt - Aveley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWTL
- Cray Wanderers
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.03.26	Cray Wanderers - Potters Bar Town	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Whitehawk - Cray Wanderers	0:3 ✺
07.03.26	Chichester City - Cray Wanderers	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Cray Wanderers - Cheshunt	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Dartford - Cray Wanderers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
09.01.26	Cray Wanderers - Aveley	0:3
21.01.23	Aveley - Cray Wanderers	0:1
05.11.22	Cray Wanderers - Aveley	2:1
Club Friendly
01.09.20	Aveley - Cray Wanderers	1:1

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