The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cheshunt 25.6%
Draw 24.1%
Aveley 50.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.7%
25%
45.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.5%
24.3%
44%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cheshunt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Aveley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aveley's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheshunt than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aveley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cheshunt - Aveley Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Napa M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 1 - 1, Granville S. ⚽,
59', 2 - 1, Granville S. ⚽,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 18th and 15th).
Recent results have been tough for Cheshunt (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Aveley has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Aveley may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Aveley has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Aveley holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Cheshunt has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:7 (averaging 1.3:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cheshunt against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.
Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now
Aveley: 2.49% Cheshunt: 1.64%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
14
Cheshunt
10
2
5
3
9:13
-4
11
16
Aveley
10
3
1
6
17:18
-1
10
Last Results with these Odds
Cheshunt - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 29.74%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.