Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 7

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Aveley		Leatherhead

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.60	3.30
	1.85	3.55	3.35
	1.83	3.91	3.44
	1.86	3.88	3.43	Watch
	1.81	3.85	3.40
	1.84	3.72	3.46
	1.87	3.70	3.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.97)	3.74 ↑ (3.5)	3.4 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aveley
49.1%

Draw
24.2%

Leatherhead
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

25.8%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

24.6%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aveley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Leatherhead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leatherhead than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Aveley - Leatherhead Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Saunders G. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Igozouln A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 1 - 2, Igozouln A. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).

Aveley is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Leatherhead's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Aveley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Aveley could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Leatherhead: 3.29% Aveley: 2.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Leatherhead	9	4	3	2	17:15	2	15
16	Aveley	10	3	1	6	17:18	-1	10

Last Results with these Odds

Aveley - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 45.78%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aveley
English FA Cup
04.09.26	Aveley - Cheshunt	4:2 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
31.08.26	Stanway Rovers - Aveley	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Aveley - Lewes	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Three Bridges - Aveley	1:5 ✺
15.08.26	Aveley - Whitehawk	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWW
- Leatherhead
English Isthmian League Premier Division
31.08.26	Leatherhead - Dulwich Hamlet	2:3 ✺
29.08.26	Eastbourne Borough - Leatherhead	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Leatherhead - Maldon & Tiptree	1:4 ✺
15.08.26	Burgess Hill Town - Leatherhead	2:2 ✺
11.08.26	Leatherhead - Welling United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWLTW

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