Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 5

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday


	Aveley		Lewes

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.10	5.50
	1.43	4.25	5.30
	1.44	4.75	5.27
	1.45	4.75	5.31	Watch
	1.43	4.70	5.20
	1.54	4.66	4.92
	1.45	4.40	5.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.54)	4.52 ↑ (4.44)	5.27 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aveley
62.6%

Draw
20.2%

Lewes
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

20.7%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

20.3%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aveley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Lewes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Aveley - Lewes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Henshaw R. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 0 - 1, Bassett D. ⚽,
90', 0 - 2, Gondoh R. ⚽,

Preview

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Recently, Aveley has had a series of away games.

In this match, Aveley is a strong favorite.

We predict that Aveley will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aveley won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 2.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Aveley won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Lewes: 4.83% Aveley: 2.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Lewes	10	6	1	3	15:11	4	19
16	Aveley	10	3	1	6	17:18	-1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aveley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
22.08.26	Three Bridges - Aveley	1:5 ✺
15.08.26	Aveley - Whitehawk	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Southend United - Aveley	4:0 ✺
28.07.26	Canvey Island - Aveley	1:4 ✺
25.07.26	Brightlingsea Regent - Aveley	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWW
- Lewes FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
22.08.26	Lewes - Whyteleafe	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	St Albans City - Lewes	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Whitehawk - Lewes	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Lewes - Dorking Wanderers	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Lewes - Hastings United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
14.02.26	Lewes - Aveley	1:6
18.10.25	Aveley - Lewes	3:0
18.02.23	Aveley - Lewes	2:0
01.11.22	Lewes - Aveley	1:1
Club Friendly
03.08.21	Aveley - Lewes	2:4

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