Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 41

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Lewes		Wingate & Finchley

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.4	2.35
	2.57	3.42	2.44
	2.54	3.75	2.34	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.4
	2.51	3.46	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.72)	3.43 ↑ (3.25)	2.38 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lewes
35.7%

Draw
26.3%

Wingate & Finchley
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

28.3%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

28.4%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lewes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Wingate & Finchley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (-2%)

The ML Model estimate for Wingate & Finchley aligns with the current prediction.

Lewes - Wingate & Finchley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Bartlett-Antwi R. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Paye C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 16 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lewes won 0.

Recent form of Lewes has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Wingate & Finchley has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lewes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lewes won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:28. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Lewes won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 2.1:1).

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Lewes: 4.83% Wingate & Finchley: 1.64%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Lewes	10	6	1	3	15:11	4	19
15	Wingate & Finchley	8	3	2	3	13:18	-5	11

Last Results with these Odds

Wingate & Finchley - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.86%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lewes FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.04.26	Cray Wanderers - Lewes	3:0 ✺
06.04.26	Lewes - Whitehawk	3:0 ✺
03.04.26	Potters Bar Town - Lewes	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Lewes - Canvey Island	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Dartford - Lewes	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLTL
- Wingate & Finchley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.04.26	Chatham Town - Wingate & Finchley	4:0 ✺
06.04.26	Wingate & Finchley - St Albans City	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Whitehawk - Wingate & Finchley	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Wingate & Finchley - Welling United	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Carshalton Athletic - Wingate & Finchley	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
15.11.25	Wingate & Finchley - Lewes	3:0
05.04.25	Lewes - Wingate & Finchley	0:0
21.12.24	Wingate & Finchley - Lewes	2:2
03.02.24	Wingate & Finchley - Lewes	3:0
11.11.23	Lewes - Wingate & Finchley	1:2
31.01.23	Lewes - Wingate & Finchley	5:0
13.08.22	Wingate & Finchley - Lewes	1:1

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