The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lewes 45.4%
Draw 24.7%
Wingate & Finchley 29.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.8%
23.9%
30.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.4%
23.7%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lewes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Wingate & Finchley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
The ML Model estimate for Lewes aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wingate & Finchley than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
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Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division Playoffs - Semi - finals and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lewes won 0.
Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.
Wingate & Finchley may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Lewes is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lewes has recorded 5 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:28 (averaging 1.4:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lewes against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 20:10 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Lewes
13
8
2
3
20:14
6
26
12
Wingate & Finchley
12
6
2
4
24:23
1
20
Last Results with these Odds
Lewes - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 45.76%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Wingate & Finchley - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 30.35%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.