The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Avellino 64.1%
Draw 22.8%
Latina 13.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.5%
27.1%
18.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.6%
27.1%
18.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avellino's performance.
Latina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Latina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avellino that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Latina than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Latina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Avellino - Latina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Iannarilli A. (G) 29. Cancellotti T. 33. Benedetti S. 56. Enrici P. 94. Liotti D. 24. Sounas D. 6. Palmiero L. 8. Rocca M. 7. D'Ausilio M. 91. Vano M. 10. Russo R.
16. Zacchi G. (G) 11. Crecco L. 20. Berman T. 3. Vona E. 5. Di Renzo G. 92. Scravaglieri M. 25. Petermann D. 10. Riccardi A. 7. Di Livio L. 17. Capanni L. 9. Mastroianni F.
Substitutes
51. Arzillo V. 4. De Cristofaro A. 38. Frascatore P. 35. Gori G. 60. Llano Massa M. T. 77. Marson L. (G) 55. Mutanda N. 11. Redan D. 5. Rigione M.
18. Addessi S. 33. Basti M. (G) 1. Cardinali M. (G) 6. Ciko S. 75. Cortinovis F. 54. Di Giovannantonio G. 2. Ercolano E. 13. Marenco F. 14. Martignago R. 8. Ndoj E. 27. Saccani M. 24. Vona A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Rocca M. ↓, De Cristofaro A. ↑,
28', 0 - 1, Capanni L. ⚽,
36', Cancellotti T. 🟨,
45+2', Di Livio L. 🟨,
45+4', Mastroianni F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Palmiero L. ↓, Gori G. ↑,
59', Di Renzo G. 🟨,
60', Petermann D. ↓, Ndoj E. ↑,
60', Scravaglieri M. ↓, Ciko S. ↑,
63', Berman T. 🟨,
70', Mastroianni F. ↓, Martignago R. ↑,
70', Di Livio L. ↓, Cortinovis F. ↑,
71', Liotti D. ↓, Redan D. ↑,
74', Zacchi G. 🟨,
76', Russo R. 🟥,
78', 🟨,
80', Di Renzo G. ↓, Saccani M. ↑,
90+5', Sounas D. 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Avellino won 1.
Recent matches Avellino is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Latina is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Avellino is certain favorite.
Last 17 head-to-head matches Avellino won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Avellino won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-8.