Match Info

Coppa Italia Serie C - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadio Domenico Francioni (Latina)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Latina		Perugia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.42	2.98	2.92
	3.86	2.88	2.08	Watch
	2.36	3.13	2.74
	2.1	3.33	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.18)	3.08 ↓ (3.22)	2.69 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Latina
34.8%

Draw
30.4%

Perugia
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

28.3%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

26.9%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Latina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Latina's form might have worsened.

Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Latina than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Latina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Perugia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Latina - Perugia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Perugia (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Perugia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Bacchin L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 1 - 1, De Ciancio R. ⚽,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Manzari G. (Pen),
1, De Ciancio R. (Pen),
2, Riccardi D. (Pen),
2, Riccardi A. (Pen),
3, Joselito (Pen),
3, Scravaglieri M. (Pen),
4, Montevago D. (Pen),
4, Calabrese B. (Pen),
5, Bartolomei P. (Pen),
5, Parigi G. (Pen),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Latina won 1.

In recent matches, Latina has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Perugia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Perugia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Latina might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Latina won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Latina won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Latina Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
26.10.25	Sorrento - Latina	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Latina - Giugliano	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Potenza - Latina	0:0 ✺
03.10.25	Latina - Benevento	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Latina - Altamura	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 TLTWT
- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
27.10.25	Perugia - Livorno	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Pineto - Perugia	3:0 ✺
11.10.25	Perugia - Rimini	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Carpi - Perugia	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Perugia - Pianese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
11.08.24	Latina - Perugia	1:4
Italian Serie B
13.05.17	Latina - Perugia	2:2
24.12.16	Perugia - Latina	1:1
01.03.16	Perugia - Latina	2:0
18.10.15	Latina - Perugia	2:1
28.04.15	Latina - Perugia	0:0
06.12.14	Perugia - Latina	0:0

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