Match Info

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Avellino		Sampdoria

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.10	2.50	Watch
	2.65	3.30	2.50
	2.55	3.20	2.75
	2.86	3.35	2.69
	2.74	3.13	2.59	Watch
	2.75	3.00	2.60
	2.73	3.14	2.56	Watch
	2.65	3.30	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (2.74)	3.19 ↑ (3.13)	2.59 (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avellino
34.7%

Draw
29.3%

Sampdoria
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

29.8%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

30.4%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Avellino - Sampdoria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 9th and 17th in the Serie B (Play Out: )).

Avellino has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Sampdoria is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Avellino has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Avellino against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Sampdoria: 2.65% Avellino: 1.55%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Avellino	5	2	1	2	7:6	1	7
17	Sampdoria	5	1	1	3	5:9	-4	4

Last Results with these Odds

Sampdoria - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 36.07%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Avellino
Italian Serie B
19.09.26	Ascoli - Avellino	3:1 ✺
13.09.26	Avellino - Palermo	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Modena - Avellino	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Avellino - Vicenza Virtus	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	Avellino - Arezzo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LTWWL
- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
19.09.26	Sampdoria - Catanzaro	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Mantova - Sampdoria	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Palermo - Sampdoria	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Sampdoria - Juve Stabia	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	Cesena - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
22.03.26	Sampdoria - Avellino	2:1
10.01.26	Avellino - Sampdoria	2:1

Avellino - Sampdoria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide