Match Info

Division 2 - Round 11

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Avia Świdnik		Swit Skolwin

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.90	4.50
	1.64	3.75	4.00
	1.60	4.19	4.84
	1.78	3.94	3.93	Watch
	1.56	4.10	4.75
	1.62	4.37	4.51	Watch
	1.58	3.85	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.78)	4.01 ↑ (3.47)	4.42 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avia Świdnik
56.5%

Draw
22.8%

Swit Skolwin
20.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.7%

25.5%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

26.4%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avia Świdnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avia Świdnik's performance.

Swit Skolwin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avia Świdnik than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avia Świdnik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swit Skolwin than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Avia Świdnik - Swit Skolwin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bialka M. (G) 10. Aftyka G. 15. Assuncao D. 36. Jodlowski K. 26. Kolodziejski M. 99. Kumorek M. 6. Orzechowski K. 33. Pigiel M. 9. Remenyuk A. 24. Uliczny P. (C) 90. Welniak K.	31. Abramowicz M. (G) 20. Ciechanowski D. 5. Goral J. 7. Gorgon A. 13. Kapelusz S. 34. Kifert A. 8. Koziara M. 94. Nowak K. 23. Nowicki S. 15. Wojdak K. (C) 24. Zendelek K.
Substitutes
23. Falbierski B. 1. Jakubowski L. (G) 7. Kalinowski W. 17. Kaminski S. 80. Kryeziu E. 18. Marek W. 42. Niepsuj D. 25. Zbozien D.	18. Golebiewski K. 19. Kisly D. 10. Kort D. 11. Nowak K. 77. Pieslak P. 76. Rajczykowski J. (G) 4. Rogala S. . Zan S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Nowak K. ↓, Kort D. ↑,
22', 1 - 0, Welniak K. ⚽, Pigiel M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Ciechanowski D. ↓, Kisly D. ↑,
67', Jodlowski K. ↓, Kaminski S. ↑,
67', Aftyka G. ↓, Falbierski B. ↑,
68', Kapelusz S. ↓, Nowak K. ↑,
68', Zendelek K. ↓, Golebiewski K. ↑,
74', Welniak K. ↓, Marek W. ↑,
74', Assuncao D. ↓, Niepsuj D. ↑,
87', Orzechowski K. 🟨,
90+2', Kumorek M. ↓, Zbozien D. ↑,
90+5', Remenyuk A. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Avia Świdnik carries the favorite tag into this contest.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Avia Swidnik	13	5	2	6	16:20	-4	17

Outrights of Polish Division 2 for now

Avia Swidnik: 0.81%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avia Świdnik
Polish Division 2
03.10.26	Resovia Rzeszów - Avia Świdnik	1:1 ✺
Polish Division 2 - East
18.09.26	Sokół Kleczew - Avia Świdnik	2:2 ✺
Polish Division 2
13.09.26	Avia Świdnik - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 2 - East
06.09.26	GKS Tychy - Avia Świdnik	1:0 ✺
Polish Cup
03.09.26	Avia Świdnik - Wieczysta Kraków	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TTLLW
- Swit Skolwin
Polish Division 2 - East
03.10.26	Swit Skolwin - Sokół Kleczew	2:1 ✺
Polish Division 2
18.09.26	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Swit Skolwin	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	Swit Skolwin - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:5 ✺
05.09.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Swit Skolwin	1:4 ✺
30.08.26	Swit Skolwin - GKS Tychy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLLWT

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