Match Info

Division 2 - Round 7

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: MOSiR (Zielona Góra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Lechia Zielona Góra		Swit Skolwin

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.50	3.50
	1.79	3.60	3.50
	1.84	4.17	3.38
	1.86	4.2	3.4	Watch
	1.82	4.10	3.30
	1.87	3.74	3.74	Watch
	1.86	3.55	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.83)	3.84 ↑ (3.55)	3.45 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Zielona Góra
49.8%

Draw
23.8%

Swit Skolwin
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

25.4%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

24.5%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Zielona Góra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Swit Skolwin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swit Skolwin than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Lechia Zielona Góra - Swit Skolwin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Bursztyn J. (G) 17. Debski D. 33. Flis P. 4. Kurowski I. 77. Lisowski M. 13. Lizakowski K. 8. Nahrebecki W. 3. Ostrowski R. 16. Szczotko F. 24. Szmigiel M. 18. Szpakowski M.	31. Abramowicz M. (G) 80. Andruszko M. 20. Ciechanowski D. 99. Fraczczak A. 7. Gorgon A. 13. Kapelusz S. 10. Kort D. (C) 94. Nowak K. 23. Nowicki S. 4. Rogala S. 3. Szwiec D.
Substitutes
22. Aleksandrowicz M. 7. Bargiel P. 6. Embalo G. 5. Majchrzak F. 9. Olek K. 12. Slobodzian D. (G) 75. Wiecek D. 21. Zientarski M.	18. Golebiewski K. 5. Goral J. 34. Kifert A. 11. Nowak K. 76. Rajczykowski J. (G) 9. Ropski K. 15. Wojdak K. 22. Wozniak A. 24. Zendelek K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Kurowski I. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Fraczczak A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', 0 - 2, Nowak K. ⚽,
53', Szczotko F. ↓, Bargiel P. ↑,
53', Lizakowski K. ↓, Aleksandrowicz M. ↑,
57', 0 - 3, Fraczczak A. ⚽, Nowak K. (A),
58', Nahrebecki W. ↓, Olek K. ↑,
58', Lisowski M. ↓, Wiecek D. ↑,
62', Fraczczak A. ↓, Ropski K. ↑,
68', Olek K. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Szmigiel M. ↓, Zientarski M. ↑,
69', Nowak K. ↓, Goral J. ↑,
70', Kapelusz S. ↓, Nowak K. ↑,
73', Andruszko M. ↓, Zendelek K. ↑,
74', 0 - 4, Ropski K. ⚽, Gorgon A. (A),
84', 1 - 4, Bargiel P. ⚽, Zientarski M. (A),

Preview

In recent matches, Zielona Góra has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Swit Skolwin is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Swit Skolwin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Zielona Góra could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Zielona Góra won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Including home match between the teams, Zielona Góra won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Outrights of Polish Division 2 for now

Zielona Gora: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Zielona Gora	10	4	3	3	20:16	4	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Zielona Góra
Polish Cup
02.09.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Ruch Chorzów	0:2 ✺
Polish Division 2
29.08.26	Avia Świdnik - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:3 ✺
23.08.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Hutnik	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Lechia Zielona Góra	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Sokół Kleczew	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWTLW
- Swit Skolwin
Polish Division 2
30.08.26	Swit Skolwin - GKS Tychy	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Znicz Pruszków - Swit Skolwin	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Swit Skolwin - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	0:1 ✺
09.08.26	Legia II - Swit Skolwin	5:0 ✺
Polish Cup
05.08.26	Olimpia Grudziądz - Swit Skolwin	5:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup
13.08.20	Lechia Zielona Góra - Swit Skolwin	1:4

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