Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 20

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Avilés Stadium		San Martín

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.82	2.18
	3.47	2.82	2.25
	2.77	2.78	2.77	Watch
	3.4	2.75	2.2
	3.44	2.79	2.21
	3.5	2.75	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (3.04)	2.79 ↓ (3.02)	2.31 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avilés Stadium
27.6%

Draw
32.8%

San Martín
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

29.9%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

28.8%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avilés Stadium has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

San Martín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avilés Stadium than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Avilés Stadium - San Martín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 10).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

San Martín will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Avilés Stadium won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Avilés Stadium won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	EI San Martin	5	1	2	2	5:10	-5	5
16	Aviles Stadium	5	1	0	4	2:9	-7	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avilés Stadium CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
25.01.26	Covadonga - Avilés Stadium	3:0 ✺
18.01.26	Avilés Stadium - Tuilla	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Llanera - Avilés Stadium	3:0 ✺
04.01.26	Avilés Stadium - Real Titánico	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Llanes - Avilés Stadium	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLTT
- EI San Martín
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
25.01.26	San Martín - Llanera	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Real Titánico - San Martín	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Llanes - San Martín	2:3 ✺
04.01.26	San Martín - Sporting de Gijón B	0:2 ✺
20.12.25	LEntregu - San Martín	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
21.09.25	San Martín - Avilés Stadium	2:0
13.04.25	San Martín - Avilés Stadium	0:1
01.12.24	Avilés Stadium - San Martín	1:0

Avilés Stadium - San Martín: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide