Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 19

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	San Martín		Llanera

	1	X	2
	4.35	3.25	1.72
	5.03	3.38	1.69
	4.26	3.23	1.84
	4.4	3.1	1.75
	4.54	3.3	1.73
	5	3.33	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.6 ↓ (5.59)	3.27 ↓ (3.61)	1.73 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Martín
19.8%

Draw
27.8%

Llanera
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.2%

25.2%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

24.4%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Llanera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Llanera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llanera than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Llanera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

San Martín - Llanera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 1)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent performances by San Martín have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Llanera is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Llanera is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, San Martín won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	EI San Martin	5	1	2	2	5:10	-5	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EI San Martín
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
18.01.26	Real Titánico - San Martín	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Llanes - San Martín	2:3 ✺
04.01.26	San Martín - Sporting de Gijón B	0:2 ✺
20.12.25	LEntregu - San Martín	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	San Martín - Colunga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWLLT
- UD Llanera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
18.01.26	Llanera - Covadonga	0:5 ✺
11.01.26	Llanera - Avilés Stadium	3:0 ✺
04.01.26	Tuilla - Llanera	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Real Titánico - Llanera	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Llanera - Llanes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
14.09.25	Llanera - San Martín	4:0
01.11.18	Llanera - San Martín	1:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
14.01.18	San Martín - Llanera	1:0

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