Match Info

Australia Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Green Gully Reserve (Melbourne)


	Avondale		APIA Leichhardt Tigers

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	3.1	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.55
	2.18	3.55	2.88	Watch
	2.16	3.75	2.98
	1.32	5.66	7.70	Watch
	2.38	3.5	2.9
	2.25	3.64	2.93	Watch
	1.91	3.75	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.91)	3.86 ↑ (3.75)	3.52 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avondale
46.9%

Draw
25.3%

APIA Leichhardt Tigers
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

24%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

22.4%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avondale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

APIA Leichhardt Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avondale than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for APIA Leichhardt Tigers than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Avondale - APIA Leichhardt Tigers Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Avondale will win (votes: 3 - 60%). APIA Leichhardt will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - APIA Leichhardt (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Avondale will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Avondale (votes: 3 - 75%). APIA Leichhardt (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Manos T. (G) 25. Courtney-Perkins J. 5. Reid M. 4. Brice A. (C) 24. Wellsmore E. 27. Tevere L. 13. Towns Y. 23. Trajceski K. 22. Valentini S. 10. Aguek M. 7. Zinni S.	80. Kalac O. (G) 24. Fong C. 5. Kelly D. 21. Kouta M. 16. Symons S. (C) 2. Kambayashi S. 19. Monge F. 99. Farinella F. 22. Caspers E. 7. Stewart J. 9. Ortiz P.
Substitutes
14. Carpenter B. 80. Cuba C. 2. D’Argenio M. 11. Kur K. 38. Mayen (G) 9. Ott G.	14. Court M. 30. Denmead A. 6. Flottmann P. 11. Jordan R. 29. Kasalovic M. 20. Parkes A. (G) 18. Ucchino A.
Coaches
Markovski Z.	Parisi F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', Caspers E. 🟨,
9', 1 - 0, Zinni S. ⚽, Tevere L. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Kambayashi S. ⚽, Stewart J. (A),
35', Courtney-Perkins J. 🟨,
45', Kelly D. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 1, Tevere L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Kalac O. 🟨,
53', Aguek M. (Pen),
55', Reid M. 🟨,
61', Courtney-Perkins J. ↓, Carpenter B. ↑,
66', Farinella F. ↓, Kasalovic M. ↑,
67', Zinni S. ↓, Kur K. ↑,
70', Valentini S. 🟨,
73', Ortiz P. ↓, Jordan R. ↑,
73', Caspers E. ↓, Denmead A. ↑,
76', 3 - 1, Aguek M. ⚽, Carpenter B. (A),
80', Trajceski K. ↓, Ott G. ↑,
80', Valentini S. ↓, Cuba C. ↑,
80', Reid M. ↓, D’Argenio M. ↑,
83', Wellsmore E. 🟨,
90+1', Monge F. ↓, Court M. ↑,

Preview

Avondale is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

APIA Leichhardt is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

APIA Leichhardt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Avondale might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avondale FC
Australian NPL Victoria
02.08.25	Avondale - Heidelberg United	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Altona Magic - Avondale	0:1 ✺
Australian Cup
22.07.25	Avondale - Stirling Macedonia	5:1 ✺
Australian NPL Victoria
19.07.25	Avondale - Dandenong City	1:1 ✺
04.07.25	Hume City - Avondale	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWTW
- APIA Leichhardt Tigers
Australian NPL NSW
10.08.25	Marconi Stallions - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	3:2 ✺
02.08.25	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Manly United	1:0 ✺
Australian Cup
30.07.25	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Melbourne City	2:0 ✺
Australian NPL NSW
27.07.25	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	0:2 ✺
20.07.25	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Sydney United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWWT

Avondale - APIA Leichhardt Tigers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide