Match Info
NPL Victoria - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 12 September 2026, SaturdayLocation: John Ilhan Memorial Reserve (Nasiol) (Melbourne)
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Hume City |
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Avondale |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
2.50 |
3.50 |
2.40 |
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 |
2.42 |
3.4 |
2.38 |
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 |
2.48 |
3.7 |
2.46 |
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 |
2.49 |
3.76 |
2.49 |
Watch |
 |
2.35 |
3.55 |
2.4 |
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2.4 |
3.55 |
2.41 |
Watch |
 |
2.46 |
3.55 |
2.42 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↓
(2.55) |
3.57 ↑
(3.5) |
2.42 ↑
(2.25) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Hume City
37.1% | Draw
25.4% | Avondale
37.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hume City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Avondale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hume City than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avondale than the current prediction. (+2.9%)Hume City - Avondale Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Avondale will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 22', 0 - 1, Carpenter B. ⚽,
- 28', 0 - 2, Carpenter B. ⚽,
- 45+2', 1 - 2, Debele G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 86', 1 - 3, ⚽,
- 90+1', 🟥,
- 90+1', 🟥,
- 90+4', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
Hume City is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Semi~finals) Avondale is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Quarter~finals)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hume City won 1.Hume City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).Avondale is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).Hume City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hume City won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 22:42. (average 1.1:2.1).Including home matches between the teams, Hume City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.2:1.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NPL Victoria | | | 29.08.26 | Avondale - Hume City | 2:0 | | 16.05.26 | Hume City - Avondale | 3:0 | | 04.07.25 | Hume City - Avondale | 1:2 | | 29.03.25 | Avondale - Hume City | 2:0 | | 15.06.24 | Avondale - Hume City | 5:0 | | 09.03.24 | Hume City - Avondale | 1:2 | | 03.06.23 | Hume City - Avondale | 0:1 |
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