The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ayense 24.3%
Draw 26%
Santiago 49.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43%
26.1%
30.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.7%
24.6%
29.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ayense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ayense's form might have worsened.
Santiago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santiago's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayense than the current prediction. (+21.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ayense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago than the current prediction. (-20.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santiago, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
16.7%
83.3%
Ayense - Santiago Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Santiago will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Santiago will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Gamez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', 0 - 2, Rodriguez J. A. P. ⚽,
Preview
1st leg.
One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie B (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie B (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Ayense in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Santiago is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Santiago could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Ayense will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ayense won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Ayense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).