The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pachuca 2 29.3%
Draw 29.7%
Santiago 41%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.8%
29%
41.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.2%
28.4%
42%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pachuca 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Santiago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca 2 than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago than the current prediction. (+1%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 0, Luna D. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 1, Morales M. ⚽,
Preview
1st leg.
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie B (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie B (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Pachuca 2 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Santiago is in marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games, wins - 5).
Santiago could have an advantage in physical - more days for rest in the last days.
Santiago will have a poor advantage in this game.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pachuca 2 won 1 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 3:3 (average 0.8:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams, Pachuca 2 won 1 matches, drew 1 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).