Match Info

MEXICO: Liga Premier Serie B - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 21 March 2025, Friday


	Santiago		Calor de San Pedro

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.53	4.55	Watch
	1.74	3.59	4.61	Watch
	1.65	3.5	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.59)	3.54 ↑ (3.5)	4.79 ↓ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santiago
54.5%

Draw
26.2%

Calor de San Pedro
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

26.1%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

24.8%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santiago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Calor de San Pedro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santiago, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calor de San Pedro than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Santiago - Calor de San Pedro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+3', 🟥,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie B (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie B (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Santiago is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Santiago to win the game is with odds 1.63.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Santiago won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santiago FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie B
14.03.25	Pachuca 2 - Santiago	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Santiago - CDM	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Ciervos - Santiago	0:3 ✺
21.02.25	Santiago - Poza Rica	4:1 ✺
14.02.25	Real Zamora - Santiago	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTWWW
- Calor de San Pedro
Mexican Liga Premier Serie B
15.03.25	Calor de San Pedro - Huracanes Izcalli	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Cordobés - Calor de San Pedro	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Caja Oblatos - Calor de San Pedro	1:4 ✺
15.02.25	Calor de San Pedro - Cañoneros Marina	3:1 ✺
25.01.25	Calor de San Pedro - Pachuca 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie B
11.12.24	Calor de San Pedro - Santiago	1:0
16.11.24	Calor de San Pedro - Santiago	0:1

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