Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 5

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday

Location: Ayutthaya Province Stadium (Ayutthaya)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hong-kong	HOY TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Ayutthaya United		Lamphun Warriors

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.30	2.40
	2.52	3.25	2.4	Watch
	2.66	3.5	2.51
	2.54	3.42	2.49	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.45
	2.44	3.28	2.46	Watch
	2.55	3.35	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.14)	3.34 ↑ (3.25)	2.45 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayutthaya United
35.9%

Draw
27.1%

Lamphun Warriors
37%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.7%

27.5%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayutthaya United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ayutthaya United's form might have worsened.

Lamphun Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lamphun Warriors's recent form is better than expected.

Ayutthaya United - Lamphun Warriors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Makemusik W. (G) 23. Biaothungoi P. 4. Palic K. 2. Hwang Hyun-Soo (C) 47. Kamkla B. 6. Ewerton 10. Karin C. 25. Kusano Y. 17. Laptrakul C. 9. Willen Mota 97. Keereeleang G.	20. Muangngam N. (G) 16. Wannasri P. 23. Clough C. 33. Okungbowa O. 30. Singmui S. 32. Tapla B. 5. Tongkiri C. 6. Ilic C. 14. Osman M. (C) 7. Schad D. 11. Fellipe L.
Substitutes
77. Caique Lemes 5. Changthong A. 29. Dechmitr S. 13. Ingkaew S. (G) 27. Jantawong P. 15. Kerkez D. 7. Lucas Dias 18. Namphueng S. 21. Rungrampan T. 55. Sompim S. 19. Wanpraphao C. 8. Worasut N.	9. Anderson Chaves 77. Essadi A. 29. Khotrsupho T. 2. Moonwong W. 21. Noiwilai N. 96. Promthongmee N. 8. Stephen Berg A. 82. Suew A. 26. Suklom K. (G) 10. Suriyachai S. 18. Thodsanid P. 75. Wannabutr P. (G)
Coaches
Siriwattanasart J.	Amato D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Okungbowa O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Okungbowa O. ↓, Stephen Berg A. ↑,
46', Keereeleang G. ↓, Caique Lemes ↑,
46', Laptrakul C. ↓, Worasut N. ↑,
46', Kusano Y. ↓, Lucas Dias ↑,
54', Palic K. 🟨,
61', Tapla B. ↓, Anderson Chaves ↑,
62', 0 - 1, Anderson Chaves ⚽,
75', 0 - 2, Biaothungoi P. (Own goal),
76', Ewerton ↓, Jantawong P. ↑,
79', Ilic C. ↓, Thodsanid P. ↑,
80', Willen Mota ↓, Wanpraphao C. ↑,
87', Fellipe L. ↓, Noiwilai N. ↑,
87', Singmui S. ↓, Moonwong W. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 8th and 15th in the Relegation - Thai League 2).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Ayutthaya United has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:6 (averaging 0.8:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ayutthaya United against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Ayutthaya Utd	5	2	1	2	5:6	-1	7
13	Lamphun Warrior	5	1	1	3	5:9	-4	4

Last Results with these Odds

Ayutthaya United - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 41.73%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Lamphun Warriors - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 30.79%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayutthaya United
Thai League 1
10.10.26	Pathum United - Ayutthaya United	1:1 ✺
18.09.26	Ayutthaya United - Uthai Thani	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Sisaket United - Ayutthaya United	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Ayutthaya United - Ratchaburi	2:1 ✺
Thai FA Cup
17.05.26	Buriram United - Ayutthaya United	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TLWWL
- Lamphun Warriors
Thai League 1
11.10.26	Lamphun Warriors - Bangkok United	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Rasisalai United - Lamphun Warriors	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Thai Port - Lamphun Warriors	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Lamphun Warriors - Uthai Thani	1:4 ✺
Thai FA Cup
17.05.26	Prachuap - Lamphun Warriors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
05.04.26	Lamphun Warriors - Ayutthaya United	2:0
29.11.25	Ayutthaya United - Lamphun Warriors	1:1
Thai League 2
09.04.22	Lamphun Warriors - Ayutthaya United	2:1
20.11.21	Ayutthaya United - Lamphun Warriors	1:1

Ayutthaya United - Lamphun Warriors: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide