Match Info

THAILAND: THAI LEAGUE 2 - ROUND 30

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Ayutthaya United		MOF Customs United

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.75	7	Watch
	1.34	4.51	6.98
	1.35	4.52	6.98
	1.4	4	6
	1.34	4.65	7.44
	1.36	4.5	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.3)	4.49 ↓ (4.6)	6.83 ↓ (8.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayutthaya United
66.6%

Draw
20.1%

MOF Customs United
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

19.8%

10.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.2%

18.7%

9.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayutthaya United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

MOF Customs United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayutthaya United than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ayutthaya United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MOF Customs United than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Chaiprasert N. 🟥,
80', 1 - 0, Joao Paulo ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ayutthaya United won 1.

Recent matches Ayutthaya United is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Customs United is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Customs United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ayutthaya United is certain favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Ayutthaya United won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Ayutthaya United won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayutthaya United
Thai League 2
17.03.24	Nakhon Ratchasima - Ayutthaya United	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Ayutthaya United - Krabi	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Pattaya United - Ayutthaya United	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Ayutthaya United - Samut Prakan City	2:2 ✺
18.02.24	Lampang - Ayutthaya United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWTL
- MOF Customs United
Thai League 2
17.03.24	MOF Customs United - Phrae United	0:1 ✺
08.03.24	MOF Customs United - Nakhon Ratchasima	1:3 ✺
03.03.24	Nakhon Si United - MOF Customs United	3:1 ✺
24.02.24	MOF Customs United - Chiangmai	2:1 ✺
18.02.24	Rayong FC - MOF Customs United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
02.12.23	MOF Customs United - Ayutthaya United	1:1
08.04.23	MOF Customs United - Ayutthaya United	1:2
03.12.22	Ayutthaya United - MOF Customs United	0:3
26.03.22	MOF Customs United - Ayutthaya United	1:0
13.11.21	Ayutthaya United - MOF Customs United	1:1
03.03.21	MOF Customs United - Ayutthaya United	2:0
18.10.20	Ayutthaya United - MOF Customs United	2:2

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