Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: 80th Birthday Stadium (Nakhon Ratchasima)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Nakhon Ratchasima		Ayutthaya United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.48	3.35	2.42	Watch
	2.41	3.3	2.88
	2.33	3.25	2.85	Watch
	2.57	3.66	2.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.32)	3.39 ↑ (3.21)	2.65 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nakhon Ratchasima
37.8%

Draw
27.3%

Ayutthaya United
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

28.5%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

27.7%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nakhon Ratchasima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Ayutthaya United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nakhon Ratchasima than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayutthaya United than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Nakhon Ratchasima - Ayutthaya United Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ayutthaya United will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ayutthaya United (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Ayutthaya United (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Ayutthaya United (1.80) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Ayutthaya United (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Noorach T. (G) 37. Jeenthai P. 29. Sanmahung J. 45. Jaiphet A. 43. Lalic N. 14. Mita H. (C) 8. Martinez Viti 24. Hanrattana P. 27. Phimpsang C. 35. Wendel 10. Brandao	1. Makemusik W. (G) 23. Biaothungoi P. 6. Wellington Priori 2. Hwang Hyun-Soo 7. Bunsan K. (C) 36. Islame Y. 62. Doloh A. 8. Worasut N. 77. Caique Lemes 9. Conrado 17. Laptrakul C.
Substitutes
11. Darbellay D. 23. Dennis Murillo 22. Hanrattana P. 21. Jaroenbut N. 13. Kaewklang N. 18. Lakhonphon N. (G) 16. Lemdee B. 3. Mamadou B. 7. Meleg D. 17. Mungdee A. 5. Paso S. 1. Prathumma P. (G)	5. Changthong A. 57. De Bruycker D. 10. Diego Carioca 19. Kaewcharoen N. 16. Kamkla B. 37. Kasemkulwirai P. 25. Naengwongsa N. (G) 31. Noichernphan A. 22. Pombuppha C. 26. Sataporn W. 3. Sawatlakhorn W. 14. Yaidee K.
Coaches
Sritaro I.	Tulwattanangkul A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Hanrattana P. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Hwang Hyun-Soo ⚽, Worasut N. (A),
41', Bunsan K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jeenthai P. ↓, Mamadou B. ↑,
46', Brandao ↓, Dennis Murillo ↑,
46', Bunsan K. ↓, Kamkla B. ↑,
59', Doloh A. 🟨,
63', Wendel ↓, Mungdee A. ↑,
66', Laptrakul C. ↓, Pombuppha C. ↑,
67', Hanrattana P. ↓, Paso S. ↑,
69', Makemusik W. ↓, Naengwongsa N. ↑,
79', Naengwongsa N. 🟨,
80', Phimpsang C. ↓, Darbellay D. ↑,
81', Conrado ↓, Diego Carioca ↑,
81', Worasut N. ↓, Yaidee K. ↑,
90+7', Jaiphet A. 🟨,
90+8', Mamadou B. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 11).

Nakhon Ratchasima has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ayutthaya United's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ayutthaya United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Nakhon Ratchasima has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Ratchasima won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Nakhon Ratchasima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Thai League 1
08.11.25	Chiangrai United - Nakhon Ratchasima	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Buriram United - Nakhon Ratchasima	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Prachuap - Nakhon Ratchasima	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Nakhon Ratchasima - Thai Port	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Bangkok United - Nakhon Ratchasima	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Ayutthaya United
Thai League 1
09.11.25	Ayutthaya United - Ratchaburi	1:3 ✺
01.11.25	Kanchanaburi - Ayutthaya United	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Ayutthaya United - Chonburi	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Pathum United - Ayutthaya United	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Ayutthaya United - Sukhothai	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
17.03.24	Nakhon Ratchasima - Ayutthaya United	1:0
26.11.23	Ayutthaya United - Nakhon Ratchasima	2:2

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