Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 22

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Jamhuri Stadium (Dodoma)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1


	Mtibwa Sugar		Azam

	1	X	2
	8.6	3.95	1.35
	8.67	4.16	1.32
	9.36	4.07	1.36	Watch
	9.7	4.05	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.08 ↑ (7.01)	4.06 ↑ (3.5)	1.34 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mtibwa Sugar
10%

Draw
22.3%

Azam
67.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.1%

26.2%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mtibwa Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Azam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Azam's recent form is better than expected.

Mtibwa Sugar - Azam Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Malimi C. (G) 13. Datius P. 69. Evance F. 8. Ibrahim S. O. 6. Lyawatwa H. (C) 21. Magata F. 3. Masai O. 45. Mkopi S. 17. Msafiri K. 20. Muhenga T. 2. Mwashilindi E.	32. Foba Z. (G) 24. Fuentes Mendoza Y. D. 8. Kanoute S. 52. Kibeku A. 30. Kitambala J. 23. Mkami H. 5. Mwaikenda L. (C) 11. Nado I. 6. Salum F. 25. Twalib M. 4. Zouzou A.
Substitutes
50. Dickson Mkalawa 10. Hafidh R. 25. Hilary A. 31. Kutisha T. (G) 15. Kyaruzi E. 19. Marungu O. 11. Mhesa I. 59. Mrisho R. 12. Nyangi J. 33. Said Kazi	10. Abah A. 60. Alobogast C. 26. Bitegeko A. 20. Chilambo N. 3. Diaby Y. 18. Diakite C. 14. Lawi L. 28. Manula A. (G) 19. Ngita J. 21. Zaydi Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, Kitambala J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 0 - 3, ⚽,
74', 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mtibwa Sugar won 0.

Azam is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mtibwa Sugar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Azam is the obvious favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Mtibwa Sugar won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:25. (average 0.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Mtibwa Sugar won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Azam	7	4	2	1	11:7	4	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mtibwa Sugar FC
Tanzanian Premier League
18.04.26	Singida Fountain Gate - Mtibwa Sugar	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Mtibwa Sugar - Young Africans	1:1 ✺
25.02.26	Azam - Mtibwa Sugar	3:0 ✺
13.02.26	Mtibwa Sugar - Mashujaa	1:3 ✺
07.02.26	Mtibwa Sugar - Namungo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTLLT
- Azam FC
Tanzanian Premier League
17.04.26	Azam - JKT Tanzania	3:0 ✺
Tanzanian Federation Cup
12.04.26	Azam - Singida Fountain Gate	4:0 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
09.04.26	Mbeya City - Azam	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Azam - Simba	0:0 ✺
01.04.26	Singida Black Stars - Azam	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
25.02.26	Azam - Mtibwa Sugar	3:0
06.05.24	Mtibwa Sugar - Azam	0:2
24.11.23	Azam - Mtibwa Sugar	5:0
07.04.23	Azam - Mtibwa Sugar	2:1
12.11.22	Mtibwa Sugar - Azam	3:4
21.05.22	Mtibwa Sugar - Azam	1:2
30.11.21	Azam - Mtibwa Sugar	1:0

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