Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 21

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: Ali Hassan Mwinyi Stadium (Tabora)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1


	TRA United		Azam

	1	X	2
	5.3	3.05	1.68
	5.06	3.12	1.68
	5.28	3.2	1.71	Watch
	4.2	2.75	1.85
	5.14	3.18	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	5 ↓ (5.64)	3.06 ↓ (3.3)	1.73 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TRA United
18.1%

Draw
29.6%

Azam
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

27.8%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

26.8%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TRA United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Azam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TRA United than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azam than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Azam could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

TRA United - Azam Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Amonome J. (G) 30. Akandwanaho J. 14. Dulazi J. 32. Karaboue C. 5. Kombo N. 16. Mapaka A. 35. Mtengwa I. 21. Nganzi A. 45. Nouma V. 11. Salum R. 33. Yassin M.	28. Manula A. (G) 8. Kanoute S. 52. Kibeku A. 30. Kitambala J. 14. Lawi L. 23. Mkami H. 12. Msindo P. 5. Mwaikenda L. (C) 11. Nado I. 6. Salum F. 25. Twalib M.
Substitutes
39. Bakari F. (G) 10. Chilunda S. 46. Jiah E. 22. Lazarus J. 26. Manie P. 68. Misati J. 70. Mrisho A. 6. Mugoya K. 4. Tebandeke C. 36. Yusufu O.	10. Abah A. 60. Alobogast C. 22. Ben Zitoun T. 26. Bitegeko A. 32. Foba Z. (G) 16. Manyama E. 15. Mzee M. 19. Ngita J. 21. Zayd Y. 4. Zouzou A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Kitambala J. ⚽, Kanoute S. (A),
19', 1 - 1, Nganzi A. ⚽, Mapaka A. (A),
41', 2 - 1, Nganzi A. ⚽, Mapaka A. (A),
44', 3 - 1, Mapaka A. ⚽, Mtengwa I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nado I. ↓, Ben Zitoun T. ↑,
46', Kibeku A. ↓, Ngita J. ↑,
63', Mkami H. 🟨,
64', 4 - 1, Salum R. ⚽,
71', Msindo P. ↓, Mzee M. ↑,
71', Mkami H. ↓, Zayd Y. ↑,
77', Mtengwa I. ↓, Lazarus J. ↑,
77', Nganzi A. ↓, Yusufu O. ↑,
79', Twalib M. 🟨,
85', Mapaka A. ↓, Chilunda S. ↑,
90+2', Salum F. 🟨,
90+3', Yassin M. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).

TRA United is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Azam is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

TRA United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Azam is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TRA United won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:12. (average 0.4:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, TRA United won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Azam	7	4	2	1	11:7	4	14
12	TRA United	6	1	3	2	6:6	0	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TRA United
Tanzanian Premier League
04.05.26	Mashujaa - TRA United	1:0 ✺
01.05.26	Prisons - TRA United	0:3 ✺
17.04.26	TRA United - Pamba	1:0 ✺
Tanzanian Federation Cup
12.04.26	Namungo - TRA United	0:2 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
09.04.26	TRA United - Simba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 LWWWT
- Azam FC
Tanzanian Premier League
05.05.26	Azam - Namungo	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Mtibwa Sugar - Azam	0:3 ✺
17.04.26	Azam - JKT Tanzania	3:0 ✺
Tanzanian Federation Cup
12.04.26	Azam - Singida Fountain Gate	4:0 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
09.04.26	Mbeya City - Azam	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
29.01.26	Azam - TRA United	2:0
18.06.25	Azam - TRA United	5:0
13.12.24	TRA United - Azam	2:1
19.02.24	TRA United - Azam	0:0
16.08.23	Azam - TRA United	4:0

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