Match Info

Friendly International

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Palms Sports Arena (Baku)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-america	ViX Latin America
Sweden	Viaplay
Tajikistan	Varzish Sport
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus


	Azerbaijan		Tajikistan

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.30	4.50
	1.78	3.3	4.65
	1.79	3.2	4.29
	1.8	3.46	4.59
	1.69	3.15	4.15
	1.91	3.51	4.74	Watch
	1.77	3.4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.72)	3.33 ↓ (3.96)	4.49 ↓ (5.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Azerbaijan
51.6%

Draw
27.8%

Tajikistan
20.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57%

24.8%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Azerbaijan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Azerbaijan's form might have worsened.

Tajikistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	13.3%	0%

Azerbaijan - Tajikistan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Azerbaijan (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Azerbaijan will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	23. Baklov O. (G) Turan
	10. Dzhalilov A. (C) Istiqlol Dushanbe
	2. Dzhuraboev Z. Sogdiana
	5. Irgashev S. Ravshan Kulob
	3. Islomov T. Istiqlol Dushanbe
	20. Karomatullozoda A. Ravshan Kulob
	6. Khanonov V. Istiqlol Dushanbe
	15. Mabatshoev S. Istiqlol Dushanbe
	18. Shukurov A. Istiqlol Dushanbe
	9. Soirov R. Istiqlol Dushanbe
	7. Umarbaev P. Lok. Plovdiv

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Soirov R. ↓, Boboev S. ↑,
46', Sadykhov R. ↓, Emreli M. ↑,
46', Badalov E. ↓, Dadashov R. ↑,
46', Dashdamirov R. ↓, Khachayev M. ↑,
57', Shukurov A. 🟨,
58', 1 - 0, Baklov O. (Own goal),
59', Dzhalilov A. ↓, Dzhuraboev A. ↑,
59', Irgashev S. ↓, Rakhimzoda F. ↑,
63', Mutallimov T. ↓, Adilkhanov E. ↑,
63', Isayev A. ↓, Huseynov C. ↑,
70', Shukurov A. ↓, Olimzoda F. ↑,
70', Mabatshoev S. ↓, Babajanov N. ↑,
70', Khaybulaev A. ↓, Yusifli F. ↑,
73', Safarov E. 🟨,
75', Adilkhanov E. 🟨,
76', Karomatullozoda A. 🟨,
77', Bayramov T. ↓, Abbasov R. ↑,
79', Islomov T. ↓, Samiev S. ↑,
79', Umarbaev P. ↓, Rakhimov M. ↑,

Preview

Azerbaijan is ranked FIFA: 126., and Tajikistan is ranked FIFA: 101..

Bookmakers give the edge to Azerbaijan for this game.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Azerbaijan
Friendly
09.06.26	Azerbaijan - San Marino	2:1 ✺
05.06.26	Azerbaijan - Malta	0:2 ✺
FIFA Series
30.03.26	Azerbaijan - Sierra Leone	2:1 penalties ✺
27.03.26	Azerbaijan - Saint Lucia	6:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
16.11.25	Azerbaijan - France	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWWL
- Tajikistan
Friendly
09.06.26	Tajikistan - India	1:1 ✺
05.06.26	Tajikistan - India	3:1 ✺
Asian Cup
31.03.26	Tajikistan - Philippines	1:1 ✺
18.11.25	Timor-Leste - Tajikistan	0:5 ✺
14.10.25	Maldives - Tajikistan	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWTWW

Azerbaijan - Tajikistan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide