Match Info

Asian Cup - Qualification - Third round - Round 4

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: National Stadium (Male)

Where to Watch on TV:


Maldives	Medianet, TVM, Yes
Tajikistan	Varzish Sport


	Maldives		Tajikistan

	1	X	2
	13	5.75	1.18	Watch
	16.5	5.4	1.21	Watch
	15.52	6	1.2
	25.00	17.17	1.02	Watch
	14.7	6.18	1.21	Watch
	15	6.8	1.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	16.62 ↑ (13)	7.88 ↑ (5)	1.16 ↓ (1.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maldives
5.7%

Draw
12.1%

Tajikistan
82.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

6.9%

18%

75.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maldives has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Tajikistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tajikistan's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Maldives - Tajikistan Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tajikistan will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tajikistan (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Faisal M. (G) Da Grande 6. Aiham A. 12. Aiham A. Maziya 2. Ali S. (C) Maziya 14. Hassan H. Maziya 5. Irufaan M. Maziya 17. Mahudhee Hussain I. Club Eagles 10. Mohamed H. Maziya 9. Naiz H. Maziya 23. Nihaan H. Maziya 11. Raif H. Maziya	1. Baklov O. (G) Turan 2. Dzhuraboev Z. Sogdiana 21. Imomnazarov D. Regar-TadAZ 8. Juraboev A. Istiqlol Dushanbe 4. Kurbonov S. Istiqlol Dushanbe 15. Mabatshoev S. Regar-TadAZ 19. Nazarov A. (C) Istiqlol Dushanbe 17. Pandzhshanbe E. Istiqlol Dushanbe 5. Safarov M. Istiqlol Dushanbe 9. Soirov R. Istiqlol Dushanbe 7. Umarbaev P. Lok. Plovdiv
Substitutes
15. Choatu Maziya 7. Fasir A. Maziya 4. Haisham H. 3. Hisam S. Club Eagles 13. Imran M. 21. Naim M. Maldives 16. Rasheed A. 19. Rizuvan A. Club Eagles 1. Shareef H. (G) Maziya 20. Shifaz H. Maziya 18. Yaameen M. (G)	16. Azizov D. (G) Khosilot Parkhar 22. Boboev E. Vakhsh 13. Daliev A. Barkchi Hisor 18. Irgashev S. Ravshan Kulob 3. Islomov T. Istiqlol Dushanbe 11. Kakhorov M. 12. Karimov M. Locomotive Tbilisi 6. Karomatullozoda A. Ravshan Kulob 10. Khamrokulov N. Vakhsh 23. Khasanov M. (G) Istiqlol Dushanbe 20. Rahmatzoda R. 14. Shukurov A. Khujand

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', Umarbaev P. (Pen),
4', 0 - 1, Safarov M. ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, Mabatshoev S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Imomnazarov D. ↓, Islomov T. ↑,
54', Umarbaev P. ↓, Shukurov A. ↑,
54', Mohamed H. 🟨,
70', Juraboev A. ↓, Boboev E. ↑,
70', Soirov R. ↓, Kakhorov M. ↑,
70', Raif H. ↓, Rizuvan A. ↑,
71', Kurbonov S. 🟨,
78', 0 - 3, Mabatshoev S. ⚽,
79', Mohamed H. ↓, Naim M. ↑,
79', Hassan H. ↓, Imran M. ↑,
79', Mahudhee Hussain I. ↓, Fasir A. ↑,
83', Aiham A. ↓, Shifaz H. ↑,
86', Mabatshoev S. ↓, Khamrokulov N. ↑,

Preview

In this match, Tajikistan is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maldives won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maldives
Asian Cup
09.10.25	Tajikistan - Maldives	2:0 ✺
Friendly
09.09.25	Sri Lanka - Maldives	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Sri Lanka - Maldives	0:3 ✺
Asian Cup
10.06.25	Timor-Leste - Maldives	1:0 ✺
Friendly
05.06.25	Singapore - Maldives	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTWLL
- Tajikistan
Asian Cup
09.10.25	Tajikistan - Maldives	2:0 ✺
CAFA Nations Cup
04.09.25	Tajikistan - Iran	2:2 ✺
01.09.25	Afghanistan - Tajikistan	0:2 ✺
29.08.25	Tajikistan - India	1:2 ✺
Asian Cup
10.06.25	Philippines - Tajikistan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Asian Cup
09.10.25	Tajikistan - Maldives	2:0

Maldives - Tajikistan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide