Match Info

Asian Cup - Qualification - Third round - Round 5

Date: 18 November 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Tajikistan	Futbol TV, Varzish Sport
Timor-leste	RTTL


	Timor-Leste		Tajikistan

	1	X	2
	19	7.5	1.13	Watch
	22	11	1.07	Watch
	17.47	9.52	1.1
	15.60	10.07	1.10	Watch
	27	11.1	1.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	20.21 ↑ (15.6)	9.84 ↓ (10.07)	1.1 (1.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Timor-Leste
4.7%

Draw
9.6%

Tajikistan
85.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.3%

84.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Timor-Leste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Tajikistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Timor Leste - Tajikistan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tajikistan will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Niski D. (G) Mount Druitt Town Rangers 4. Correia A. 9. Cruz Z. Serpa 2. Fowler J. St Albans 8. Gomes Osorio C. Persipal BU 10. Joao Pedro (C) Kuching City FC 14. Kornelis Nahak 17. Requis Dias Quintao M. D. 15. Santiago da Costa 22. Viegas N. 11. Zenivio Tanjong Pagar	1. Yatimov R. (G) FK Rostov 8. Dzhuraboev A. Istiqlol Dushanbe 2. Dzhuraboev Z. Sogdiana 3. Islomov T. Istiqlol Dushanbe 4. Kurbonov S. Istiqlol Dushanbe 15. Mabatshoev S. Regar-TadAZ 17. Pandzhshanbe E. Istiqlol Dushanbe 5. Safarov M. Istiqlol Dushanbe 18. Shukurov A. Khujand 9. Soirov R. Istiqlol Dushanbe 7. Umarbaev P. (C) Lok. Plovdiv
Substitutes
13. Bakhito A. 19. Canavaro V. 5. Carvalho F. 6. de Carvalho M. 12. de Castro Pereira J. M. (G) 7. Figo L. 18. Filomeno Junior 16. Freteliano 23. Kaka 3. Nobel 21. Panji J. 1. Rama	16. Azizov D. (G) Khosilot Parkhar 23. Baklov O. (G) Turan 14. Boboev S. Ravshan Kulob 21. Imomnazarov D. Regar-TadAZ 6. Kakhorov M. 12. Karimov M. Locomotive Tbilisi 20. Karomatullozoda A. Ravshan Kulob 13. Khaitov A. Ravshan Kulob 10. Khamrokulov N. Vakhsh 19. Nazarov A. Istiqlol Dushanbe 11. Rakhimov M. Istiqlol Dushanbe 22. Samiev S. Xorazm Urganch

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
15', Cruz Z. 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Mabatshoev S. ⚽, Umarbaev P. (A),
25', 0 - 2, Pandzhshanbe E. ⚽, Soirov R. (A),
35', Kornelis Nahak ↓, Figo L. ↑,
43', 0 - 3, Mabatshoev S. ⚽, Soirov R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Correia A. ↓, Filomeno Junior ↑,
46', Umarbaev P. ↓, Rakhimov M. ↑,
46', Fowler J. ↓, Panji J. ↑,
53', Islomov T. 🟨,
67', Joao Pedro ↓, Canavaro V. ↑,
67', Cruz Z. ↓, Bakhito A. ↑,
70', Pandzhshanbe E. ↓, Samiev S. ↑,
70', Soirov R. ↓, Boboev S. ↑,
71', Kurbonov S. ↓, Karomatullozoda A. ↑,
82', 0 - 4, Rakhimov M. ⚽, Nazarov A. (A),
82', Mabatshoev S. ↓, Nazarov A. ↑,
86', 0 - 5, Boboev S. ⚽, Rakhimov M. (A),

Preview

In this match, Tajikistan is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, East Timor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Timor-Leste
Asian Cup
14.10.25	Philippines - Timor-Leste	3:1 ✺
09.10.25	Timor-Leste - Philippines	1:4 ✺
10.06.25	Timor-Leste - Maldives	1:0 ✺
25.03.25	Tajikistan - Timor-Leste	1:0 ✺
Friendly
20.03.25	Lebanon - Timor-Leste	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWLL
- Tajikistan
Asian Cup
14.10.25	Maldives - Tajikistan	0:3 ✺
09.10.25	Tajikistan - Maldives	2:0 ✺
CAFA Nations Cup
04.09.25	Tajikistan - Iran	2:2 ✺
01.09.25	Afghanistan - Tajikistan	0:2 ✺
29.08.25	Tajikistan - India	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Asian Cup
25.03.25	Tajikistan - Timor-Leste	1:0

Timor-Leste - Tajikistan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide