The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Calvo Sotelo Puertollano 53.5%
Draw 26.9%
Marchamalo 19.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.6%
24.9%
17.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.1%
23.9%
16.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Calvo Sotelo Puertollano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Marchamalo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvo Sotelo Puertollano than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Calvo Sotelo Puertollano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Marchamalo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Malano ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 2 - 0, Malano ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calvo Sotelo won 1.
Calvo Sotelo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Marchamalo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Calvo Sotelo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Calvo Sotelo is considered a favorite.
We predict that Calvo Sotelo will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Calvo Sotelo won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Calvo Sotelo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 2:1.2).