Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 23

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Azuqueca		Villarrobledo

	1	X	2
	2.42	2.78	2.98
	25.00	15.72	1.00	Watch
	2.5	2.63	2.9
	2.48	2.77	2.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.1 ↑ (2.29)	5.98 ↑ (2.96)	2.46 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Azuqueca
17.7%

Draw
24%

Villarrobledo
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

30.7%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

31.4%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Azuqueca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Azuqueca's form might have worsened.

Villarrobledo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villarrobledo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azuqueca than the current prediction. (+23%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Azuqueca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarrobledo than the current prediction. (-29.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villarrobledo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Azuqueca - Villarrobledo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', 0 - 2, ⚽,
65', 0 - 3, ⚽,
90', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 13)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Azuqueca won 1.

Azuqueca is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Villarrobledo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Azuqueca will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Azuqueca won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Azuqueca won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Villarrobledo	5	3	2	0	8:1	7	11

Last Results with these Odds

Azuqueca - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 39.65%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Azuqueca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
15.02.26	Albacete B - Azuqueca	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Azuqueca - La Solana	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Deportivo Toledo - Azuqueca	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Azuqueca - Cazalegas	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Huracán Balazote - Azuqueca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTLLL
- CP Villarrobledo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
15.02.26	Villarrobledo - Villarrubia	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Tarancón - Villarrobledo	3:0 ✺
01.02.26	Villarrobledo - Pedroñeras	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Villarrobledo	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Villarrobledo - San Clemente	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
12.10.25	Villarrobledo - Azuqueca	0:0
23.03.25	Villarrobledo - Azuqueca	1:1
10.11.24	Azuqueca - Villarrobledo	0:2
14.04.24	Villarrobledo - Azuqueca	2:2
25.11.23	Azuqueca - Villarrobledo	1:0
15.01.23	Villarrobledo - Azuqueca	2:0
11.09.22	Azuqueca - Villarrobledo	2:1

Azuqueca - Villarrobledo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide