Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 21Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday
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Tarancón |
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Villarrobledo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.49 |
3.4 |
6.7 |
|
 |
1.49 |
3.7 |
6.98 |
|
 |
1.49 |
3.68 |
6.99 |
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 |
1.5 |
3.4 |
7 |
|
 |
1.45 |
3.64 |
7.28 |
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 |
1.46 |
3.66 |
7 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↑
(1.47) |
3.58 ↓
(3.61) |
6.99 ↑
(6.97) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Tarancón
61.5% | Draw
25.4% | Villarrobledo
13% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tarancón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)The chances for Villarrobledo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarancón than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarrobledo than the current prediction. (-0.3%)Tarancón - Villarrobledo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Fizesan M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 82', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+4', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: ) and 14).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tarancón won 4.Tarancón is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).In recent matches, Villarrobledo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, Tarancón is the undisputed favorite.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tarancón won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.5:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Tarancón won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Villarrobledo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 11 |
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| 8 | Tarancon | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18 | | | 28.09.25 | Villarrobledo - Tarancón | 0:3 | | 04.05.25 | Villarrobledo - Tarancón | 0:1 | | 21.12.24 | Tarancón - Villarrobledo | 0:1 | | 31.03.24 | Villarrobledo - Tarancón | 0:2 | | 11.11.23 | Tarancón - Villarrobledo | 1:0 | | 26.03.23 | Tarancón - Villarrobledo | 2:2 | | 27.11.22 | Villarrobledo - Tarancón | 1:0 |
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