Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 22Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday
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Villarrobledo |
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Villarrubia |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.98 |
2.68 |
2.52 |
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3.19 |
2.69 |
2.5 |
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3.14 |
2.7 |
2.51 |
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3 |
2.63 |
2.5 |
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3.16 |
2.64 |
2.46 |
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3 |
2.85 |
2.4 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.08 ↓
(3.18) |
2.7 ↑
(2.64) |
2.48 ↑
(2.46) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Villarrobledo
29.6% | Draw
33.7% | Villarrubia
36.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villarrobledo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Villarrubia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarrobledo than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarrubia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)Villarrobledo - Villarrubia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 75', 1 - 0, Escribano E. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 7).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarrobledo won 2.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Villarrobledo won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 0.9:1.1).Including home matches between the teams, Villarrobledo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.5:0.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Villarrobledo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 11 |
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| 15 | Villarrubia | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:9 | -6 | 3 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Villarrobledo - the odds 3.18 are the expected chance of winning is 28.61%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18 | | | 04.10.25 | Villarrubia - Villarrobledo | 2:1 | | 11.05.25 | Villarrubia - Villarrobledo | 2:0 | | 12.01.25 | Villarrobledo - Villarrubia | 2:0 | | 27.04.24 | Villarrubia - Villarrobledo | 1:0 | | 17.12.23 | Villarrobledo - Villarrubia | 1:0 | | 08.04.23 | Villarrubia - Villarrobledo | 2:1 | | 23.04.22 | Villarrobledo - Villarrubia | 3:0 |
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