The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Azuriz 33%
Draw 30.4%
Operário Ferroviario 36.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.4%
31.1%
30.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.9%
30.7%
30.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Azuriz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Azuriz's form might have worsened.
Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Operário Ferroviario's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azuriz than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Azuriz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Operário Ferroviario, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Azuriz - Operário Ferroviario Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Operário PR (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Operário PR (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Enzo (G) 4. Ary Garcia 13. Bruno (C) 20. Gabriel Zeca 2. Hygor 7. Joao Maranhao 21. Jorginho 14. Marquinhos 6. Vinicio 3. Yegros U. 11. Ze Hugo
33. Vagner (G) 11. Aylon 10. Boschilia (C) 22. Cuenu J. 5. Indio 99. Leo Gaucho 2. Mikael Doka 6. Moraes 18. Pool J. 29. Torres E. 20. Vinicius Diniz
Substitutes
1. Gabriel Buzzetto (G) 10. Gabriel Davis 8. Joao Felipe 16. Leo Guerra 18. Lucas Santos 17. Marcao 15. Matheus Alemao 9. Matheus Guimaraes 19. Pedro Dos Santos Silva J. 22. Tchow L.
4. Andre 3. Charles Raphael 28. Dudu Mosconi 1. Elias Curzel (G) 27. Gabriel Feliciano 23. Joao Gabriel 19. Kaua Gomes 39. Matheus Trindade 16. Miranda 88. Neto Paraiba 30. Pedro Vilhena 8. Zuluaga J.
Coaches
Alexandre Gallo
Luizinho Lopes
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
30', Ze Hugo 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Torres E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Joao Maranhao (Penalty Awarded),
60', Hygor ↓, Leo Guerra ↑,
61', Gabriel Zeca 🟨,
61', Mikael Doka 🟨,
61', Yegros U. ↓, Matheus Guimaraes ↑,
66', Torres E. ↓, Matheus Trindade ↑,
66', Moraes ↓, Gabriel Feliciano ↑,
66', Aylon ↓, Neto Paraiba ↑,
67', Ze Hugo ↓, Marcao ↑,
75', Mikael Doka ↓, Miranda ↑,
78', 0 - 2, Boschilia ⚽,
82', Joao Maranhao 🟥,
82', Vinicius Diniz ↓, Pedro Vilhena ↑,
82', Marquinhos ↓, Joao Felipe ↑,
88', Gabriel Zeca 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 0-2. Second leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Azuriz won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Operário PR is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Azuriz won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 2:13. (average 0.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Azuriz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Operário Ferroviario - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 30.54%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.