Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 14

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday


	Añorga		Basconia

	1	X	2
	5	3.5	1.57
	4.76	3.47	1.64
	4.76	3.47	1.65
	4.9	3.62	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.86 ↓ (7.27)	3.52 ↓ (4)	1.62 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Añorga
18.6%

Draw
25.7%

Basconia
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.5%

22.8%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12%

22%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Añorga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Añorga's performance.

Basconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Basconia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Añorga than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Añorga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Basconia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).

Añorga has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Basconia is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Añorga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Basconia is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Añorga KKE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
02.12.23	Urduliz - Añorga	1:0 ✺
26.11.23	Alavés C - Añorga	2:1 ✺
18.11.23	Añorga - Deusto	1:3 ✺
11.11.23	Leioa - Añorga	2:0 ✺
04.11.23	Añorga - Durango	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT
- CD Basconia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
03.12.23	Basconia - Alavés C	1:0 ✺
25.11.23	Deusto - Basconia	1:1 ✺
19.11.23	Basconia - Leioa	3:1 ✺
11.11.23	Durango - Basconia	1:2 ✺
05.11.23	Basconia - Lagun Onak	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Basconia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.10.26	Eibar B - Basconia	✺

Añorga - Basconia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide