Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 22

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday


	Basconia		Leioa

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	2.95
	2.31	3.25	2.87
	2.3	3.28	2.87	Watch
	2.25	3.4	3.03
	2.2	3.3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.5)	3.27 ↓ (3.3)	2.93 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Basconia
40.7%

Draw
28.1%

Leioa
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

27.7%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

27.7%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basconia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Leioa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Basconia - Leioa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 2 - 0, ⚽,
80', 3 - 0, ⚽,
90+7', 🟥,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Basconia won 2.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Basconia won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:10 (average 1.2:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Basconia won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Basconia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
09.02.25	Aretxabaleta - Basconia	1:4 ✺
01.02.25	Basconia - San Viator	7:0 ✺
19.01.25	Basconia - Eibar C	4:3 ✺
11.01.25	Basconia - Touring KE	2:2 ✺
21.12.24	Deusto - Basconia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWTL
- SD Leioa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
09.02.25	Padura - Leioa	1:2 ✺
01.02.25	Leioa - Aretxabaleta	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	San Viator - Leioa	0:2 ✺
18.01.25	Leioa - Portugalete	2:3 ✺
12.01.25	Leioa - Eibar C	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
05.10.24	Leioa - Basconia	1:0
04.04.24	Leioa - Basconia	2:1
19.11.23	Basconia - Leioa	3:1
06.05.23	Leioa - Basconia	2:0
29.04.23	Basconia - Leioa	1:0
01.04.23	Leioa - Basconia	1:1
03.12.22	Basconia - Leioa	2:1

Upcoming Matches