Match Info

Division 3 - Group 1 - Round 20

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday


	Bærum		Frigg Oslo

	1	X	2
	2.55	4	2.05
	1.46	5.13	5.00	Watch
	2.13	4.2	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.35)	4.44 ↑ (4.2)	3.2 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bærum
47.6%

Draw
21.9%

Frigg Oslo
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

22%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

21.9%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bærum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bærum's performance.

Frigg Oslo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Frigg Oslo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bærum than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bærum that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frigg Oslo than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Frigg Oslo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bærum - Frigg Oslo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bærum (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Bærum (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bærum (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Bransdal L. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Nomell P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
67', 1 - 2, Nomell P. ⚽,
84', 2 - 2, Bransdal L. ⚽,
89', 2 - 3, Eie B. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 and 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bærum won 2.

Recent performances by Bærum have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Frigg is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Bærum won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 2.2:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Bærum won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 2:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bærum Sportsklubb
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
06.09.25	Fløya - Bærum	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Harstad - Bærum	3:3 ✺
24.08.25	Bærum - Junkeren	3:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
13.08.25	Bærum - Stabæk	0:5 ✺
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
09.08.25	Bærum - Alta 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTTLW
- Frigg Oslo
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
07.09.25	Frigg Oslo - Harstad	5:4 ✺
31.08.25	Alta 2 - Frigg Oslo	2:5 ✺
24.08.25	Frigg Oslo - Sortland	10:0 ✺
16.08.25	Ulfstind - Frigg Oslo	1:5 ✺
09.08.25	Frigg Oslo - Tromsø 2	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
28.06.25	Frigg Oslo - Bærum	3:4
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
21.09.24	Frigg Oslo - Bærum	3:3
05.05.24	Bærum - Frigg Oslo	1:3
Norwegian OBOS Supercup
10.02.24	Bærum - Frigg Oslo	0:4
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
01.10.22	Bærum - Frigg Oslo	3:0
30.04.22	Frigg Oslo - Bærum	4:1
Club Friendly
05.02.22	Bærum - Frigg Oslo	4:2

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