Match Info

NM Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 13 August 2025, Wednesday


	Bærum		Stabæk

	1	X	2
	7	5.75	1.29
	6	5.25	1.33
	7.9	5.9	1.24
	7.9	5.85	1.25
	6.06	5.51	1.35	Watch
	6.5	5	1.35
	8.15	5.6	1.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.07 ↑ (6.21)	5.55 ↑ (5.33)	1.3 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bærum
13%

Draw
16.5%

Stabæk
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

16.8%

68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

12.6%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bærum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Stabæk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bærum than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bærum, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (-19.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stabæk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Bærum - Stabæk Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bærum will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Stabæk will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.25 - Stabæk (2.49) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Stabæk (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Opseth K. ⚽, Vinge R. E. (A),
31', 0 - 2, Vinge R. E. ⚽, Ellegaard F. (A),
35', Myrmo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
66', 0 - 3, Cedergren A. ⚽, Ekorness K. (A),
68', 0 - 4, Ellegaard F. ⚽, Cedergren A. (A),
86', 0 - 5, Geelmuyden H. ⚽, Lankhof-Dahlby M. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bærum won 1.

Bærum has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Stabæk has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Bærum may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Stabæk is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Bærum will win today's game, with odds of 6.42.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bærum won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bærum won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bærum Sportsklubb
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
09.08.25	Bærum - Alta 2	3:0 ✺
12.07.25	Sortland - Bærum	0:4 ✺
06.07.25	Bærum - Harstad	3:1 ✺
28.06.25	Frigg Oslo - Bærum	3:4 ✺
22.06.25	Bærum - Tromsø 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWWW
- Stabæk Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
10.08.25	Kongsvinger - Stabæk	2:1 ✺
06.08.25	Stabæk - Aalesunds	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	Stabæk - Moss	3:3 ✺
30.07.25	Odd - Stabæk	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Sogndal - Stabæk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.24	Bærum - Stabæk	0:5
Club Friendly
20.01.23	Bærum - Stabæk	0:2
28.01.17	Bærum - Stabæk	1:2
Norwegian NM Cup
04.05.16	Bærum - Stabæk	0:3
Club Friendly
23.01.15	Bærum - Stabæk	2:0
24.01.14	Bærum - Stabæk	3:1

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