Match Info

I Lyga - Round 23

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	BE1 NFA Kaunas		Kauno Žalgiris 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.32	4.75	7.00
	1.3	4.7	7
	1.3	4.89	7.31
	1.33	4.85	7.51	Watch
	1.28	4.8	7.2
	1.37	4.7	7.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.38)	4.78 ↑ (4.55)	7.22 ↑ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BE1 NFA Kaunas
68.6%

Draw
18.9%

Kauno Žalgiris 2
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

19.9%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

19.4%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BE1 NFA Kaunas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Kauno Žalgiris 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BE1 NFA Kaunas than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kauno Žalgiris 2 than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

BE1 NFA Kaunas - Kauno Žalgiris 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+6', (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 14 in the zone I Lyga (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, BE1 NFA won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Kauno Žalgiris 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, BE1 NFA is the clear favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, BE1 NFA won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:2. (average 1.6:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, BE1 NFA won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	BE1 NFA	24	16	2	6	44:24	20	50
12	Kauno Zalgiris 2	25	7	1	17	23:43	-20	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BE1 NFA Kaunas
Lithuanian Division 2
29.08.26	Ekranas - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:5 ✺
21.08.26	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Garliava	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Hegelmann Litauen 2	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Minija Kretinga - BE1 NFA Kaunas	3:0 ✺
31.07.26	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Jonava	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLL
- Kauno Žalgiris 2
Lithuanian Division 2
29.08.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Hegelmann Litauen 2	3:0 ✺
14.08.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Jonava	2:1 ✺
10.08.26	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Kauno Žalgiris 2	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	3:1 ✺
24.07.26	Tauras Tauragė - Kauno Žalgiris 2	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
02.05.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:1
05.10.25	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:4
01.06.25	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Kauno Žalgiris 2	1:1
30.08.24	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Kauno Žalgiris 2	2:0
05.04.24	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:2
08.10.23	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:1
19.05.23	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Kauno Žalgiris 2	0:1

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