Match Info

I Lyga - Round 5

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LNK


	BFA Vilnius		Dainava Alytus

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.25	2.52	Watch
	2.43	3.32	2.51
	2.45	3.42	2.55	Watch
	2.4	3	2.5
	2.45	3.28	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (3.25)	3.25 ↓ (3.43)	2.52 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BFA Vilnius
36.9%

Draw
27.5%

Dainava Alytus
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

26.5%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BFA Vilnius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in BFA Vilnius's performance.

Dainava Alytus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dainava Alytus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

BFA Vilnius - Dainava Alytus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

BFA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dainava might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, BFA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1.2:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, BFA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	BFA Vilnius	25	13	4	8	39:35	4	43
8	Dainava Alytus	25	11	7	7	35:25	10	40

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BFA Vilnius
Lithuanian Division 2
21.03.26	Transinvest 2 - BFA Vilnius	1:0 ✺
17.03.26	BFA Vilnius - FA Šiauliai B	1:0 ✺
13.03.26	BE1 NFA Kaunas - BFA Vilnius	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - BFA Vilnius	2:2 ✺
31.10.25	BFA Vilnius - Nevėžis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLTW
- Dainava Alytus
Lithuanian Division 2
28.03.26	Tauras Tauragė - Dainava Alytus	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Babrungas Plungė - Dainava Alytus	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Transinvest 2 - Dainava Alytus	3:3 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
08.11.25	Dainava Alytus - Riteriai	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Banga Gargždai - Dainava Alytus	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
21.08.22	Dainava Alytus - BFA Vilnius	5:1
Lithuanian Cup
15.07.20	BFA Vilnius - Dainava Alytus	1:2
Lithuanian Division 2
27.06.20	BFA Vilnius - Dainava Alytus	0:1
21.08.19	Dainava Alytus - BFA Vilnius	3:2
14.04.19	BFA Vilnius - Dainava Alytus	2:1

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