Match Info

I Lyga - Round 4

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LNK


	Babrungas Plungė		Dainava Alytus

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.5	2.45	Watch
	2.6	3.47	2.31
	1.09	1.00	1.00	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.3
	2.66	3.58	2.35
	2.25	3.4	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 (2.25)	3.03 ↓ (3.4)	2.15 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Babrungas Plungė
35.9%

Draw
26.7%

Dainava Alytus
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

25.8%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Babrungas Plungė has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Dainava Alytus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Babrungas Plungė - Dainava Alytus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Ellah C. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
56', 1 - 1, ⚽,
81', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Dainava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Babrungas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Including home match between the teams, Babrungas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Babrungas	25	19	4	2	43:11	32	61
8	Dainava Alytus	25	11	7	7	35:25	10	40

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Babrungas Plungė
Lithuanian Division 2
18.03.26	Babrungas Plungė - Transinvest 2	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Ekranas - Babrungas Plungė	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Babrungas Plungė - FA Šiauliai B	1:5 ✺
31.10.25	Panevėžys 2 - Babrungas Plungė	3:7 ✺
25.10.25	Babrungas Plungė - Hegelmann Litauen 2	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLWW
- Dainava Alytus
Lithuanian Division 2
14.03.26	Transinvest 2 - Dainava Alytus	3:3 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
08.11.25	Dainava Alytus - Riteriai	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Banga Gargždai - Dainava Alytus	6:0 ✺
27.10.25	Dainava Alytus - Hegelmann Litauen	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Sūduva Marijampolė - Dainava Alytus	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
17.09.22	Babrungas Plungė - Dainava Alytus	2:1
22.05.22	Dainava Alytus - Babrungas Plungė	3:2

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