The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Banga Gargždai 56.7%
Draw 25.3%
Dainava Alytus 18%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.3%
23.6%
16%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.5%
22.8%
15.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Banga Gargždai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Dainava Alytus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banga Gargždai than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Banga Gargždai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dainava Alytus than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Banga Gargždai - Dainava Alytus Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
55. Bertasius M. (G) 13. Zebrauskas N. 3. Malzinskas D. 5. Victory A. 19. Antuzis V. 11. Filipavicius R. 6. Ramanauskas M. (C) 30. Laton 99. Olugbogi P. 77. Venckus I. 14. Seedorf S.
77. Mickevicius A. (G) 29. Zabita G. 24. Paliusis N. 3. Maksymenko M. 21. Sukhotskyi A. 15. DeZart J. 26. Reginaldo 9. Dhouib W. 10. Pavlovski M. 7. Baftalovskyi A. 17. Zevzikovas D.
Substitutes
17. Andrejev M. 12. Grinkevicius L. (G) 8. Hugo Figueredo 10. Magdusauskas V. 7. Norvilas D. 21. Praleika S. 24. Razvadauskas A. 20. Toleikis K. 1. Vitkauskas A. (G)
6. Banevicius R. 5. Chikovani N. 2. Daniel Alemao 95. Dudik A. 1. Krynskyi V. (G) 11. Lubas J. 33. Zahladko V.
Coaches
Marques Afonso D.
Orazov M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Venckus I. ⚽, Ramanauskas M. (A),
29', 2 - 0, Venckus I. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Pavlovski M. ↓, Dudik A. ↑,
50', 3 - 0, Olugbogi P. ⚽,
53', 4 - 0, Antuzis V. ⚽,
55', Antuzis V. ↓, Hugo Figueredo ↑,
55', Olugbogi P. ↓, Andrejev M. ↑,
55', Maksymenko M. ↓, Daniel Alemao ↑,
56', Sukhotskyi A. ↓, Chikovani N. ↑,
68', 5 - 0, Filipavicius R. ⚽,
68', Paliusis N. 🟨,
72', Dhouib W. ↓, Lubas J. ↑,
77', 6 - 0, Seedorf S. ⚽,
78', Seedorf S. ↓, Toleikis K. ↑,
78', Laton ↓, Norvilas D. ↑,
87', Reginaldo ↓, Banevicius R. ↑,
87', Venckus I. ↓, Razvadauskas A. ↑,
Preview
Dainava is Relegated to I Lyga
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Banga won 2.
In recent matches, Banga has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Dainava is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Banga is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Banga won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 23:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Banga won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.9:1.3).