Match Info

I Lyga - Round 7

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LNK


	BFA Vilnius		Tauras Tauragė

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.3	1.98
	3.21	3.2	2
	3.53	3.47	1.94	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2
	3.47	3.3	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↓ (4.14)	3.3 ↓ (3.7)	1.98 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BFA Vilnius
27.1%

Draw
27.3%

Tauras Tauragė
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

24.8%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

23.2%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BFA Vilnius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Tauras Tauragė has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tauras Tauragė might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BFA Vilnius than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tauras Tauragė than the current prediction. (+4%)

BFA Vilnius - Tauras Tauragė Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 2 - 0, ⚽,
61', 2 - 1, ⚽,
73', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 6).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Tauras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Tauras has had a series of home games.

In this match, Tauras is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, BFA won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, BFA won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	BFA Vilnius	25	13	4	8	39:35	4	43
7	Tauras Taurage	25	13	4	8	43:31	12	43

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BFA Vilnius
Lithuanian Division 2
17.04.26	Neptūnas - BFA Vilnius	1:3 ✺
04.04.26	BFA Vilnius - Dainava Alytus	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Transinvest 2 - BFA Vilnius	1:0 ✺
17.03.26	BFA Vilnius - FA Šiauliai B	1:0 ✺
13.03.26	BE1 NFA Kaunas - BFA Vilnius	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTLWL
- Tauras Tauragė
Lithuanian Cup
21.04.26	Tauras Tauragė - Hegelmann Litauen	1:4 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
18.04.26	Tauras Tauragė - Babrungas Plungė	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Tauras Tauragė - Garliava	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Tauras Tauragė - Dainava Alytus	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Neptūnas - Tauras Tauragė	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
25.10.25	Tauras Tauragė - BFA Vilnius	2:3
18.06.25	BFA Vilnius - Tauras Tauragė	2:2
08.11.24	BFA Vilnius - Tauras Tauragė	0:1
22.06.24	Tauras Tauragė - BFA Vilnius	4:0

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