Match Info

I Lyga - Round 6

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LNK


	Neptūnas		BFA Vilnius

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.9	4.75	Watch
	1.6	4.1	4.69
	1.56	4.31	4.58	Watch
	1.57	4	4.2
	1.62	4.54	4.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.62)	4.17 ↑ (3.73)	4.47 ↓ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neptūnas
57.7%

Draw
21.9%

BFA Vilnius
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

24.5%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neptūnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

BFA Vilnius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Neptūnas - BFA Vilnius Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 3)
66', 0 - 1, ⚽,
71', 1 - 1, ⚽,
83', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neptūnas won 3.

In this match, Neptūnas is a strong favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Neptūnas won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Neptūnas won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Neptunas	25	14	2	9	33:30	3	44
5	BFA Vilnius	25	13	4	8	39:35	4	43

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Neptūnas Klaipėda
Lithuanian Division 2
04.04.26	Babrungas Plungė - Neptūnas	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Neptūnas - Tauras Tauragė	1:0 ✺
17.03.26	Neptūnas - Garliava	0:3 ✺
13.03.26	FA Šiauliai B - Neptūnas	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.02.26	Tauras Tauragė - Neptūnas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLTL
- BFA Vilnius
Lithuanian Division 2
04.04.26	BFA Vilnius - Dainava Alytus	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Transinvest 2 - BFA Vilnius	1:0 ✺
17.03.26	BFA Vilnius - FA Šiauliai B	1:0 ✺
13.03.26	BE1 NFA Kaunas - BFA Vilnius	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - BFA Vilnius	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
18.10.25	BFA Vilnius - Neptūnas	1:5
13.06.25	Neptūnas - BFA Vilnius	2:0
30.08.24	BFA Vilnius - Neptūnas	0:5
05.04.24	Neptūnas - BFA Vilnius	2:2
30.09.23	BFA Vilnius - Neptūnas	2:2
13.05.23	Neptūnas - BFA Vilnius	1:0
07.10.22	Neptūnas - BFA Vilnius	1:0

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