Match Info

3rd Division - Round 11

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Valby Idraetspark (Copenhagen) 🌤️ ...


	BK Frem		Næsby

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.40	2.38
	2.42	3.72	2.44
	2.55	3.76	2.33	Watch
	2.35	3.65	2.40
	2.41	3.44	2.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (3.02)	3.59 ↓ (3.71)	2.39 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BK Frem
37%

Draw
25.2%

Næsby
37.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.2%

24.6%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

24.2%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BK Frem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in BK Frem's performance.

Næsby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Næsby might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BK Frem than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with BK Frem that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Næsby than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Næsby could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

BK Frem - Næsby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 🟥,
42', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 2 - 0, ⚽,
86', 🟥,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 11th in the 3rd Division (Relegation Group: ) and 4th in the Promotion - 3rd Division (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Frem won 2.

Frem is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Næsby has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Frem has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:21 (averaging 2.3:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Frem against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 14:10 goals (averaging 2:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Naesby	13	5	3	5	23:20	3	18
10	BK Frem	13	3	5	5	21:21	0	14

Last Results with these Odds

Næsby - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.21%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BK Frem
Danish 3 Division
03.10.26	Brønshøj BK - BK Frem	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	BK Frem - Sundby	0:3 ✺
19.09.26	Ishøj IF - BK Frem	3:2 ✺
13.09.26	Holstebro - BK Frem	3:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
09.09.26	BK Frem - Roskilde	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLLLL
- Næsby BK
Danish 3 Division
03.10.26	Næsby - Holstebro	4:0 ✺
26.09.26	Ringsted - Næsby	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Næsby - Helsingør	1:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
16.09.26	Næsby - Horsens	2:3 ✺
Danish 3 Division
13.09.26	ASA Aarhus - Næsby	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 3 Division
06.04.26	Næsby - BK Frem	3:2
16.08.25	BK Frem - Næsby	1:2
15.06.24	BK Frem - Næsby	5:3
13.04.24	Næsby - BK Frem	1:4
28.10.23	BK Frem - Næsby	0:0
05.08.23	Næsby - BK Frem	4:2
21.05.22	Næsby - BK Frem	2:1

BK Frem - Næsby