Match Info

3rd Division - Round 8

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: ALPI Arena Naesby (Odense)


	Næsby		Helsingør

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.50	2.75
	2.10	3.50	2.85
	2.16	3.67	2.81
	2.06	3.74	2.98	Watch
	2.13	3.60	2.75
	2.19	3.86	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.3)	3.65 ↓ (3.66)	2.83 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Næsby
42.9%

Draw
25%

Helsingør
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

25.1%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

24.1%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Næsby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Helsingør has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Næsby than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helsingør than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Næsby - Helsingør Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 1 - 0, ⚽,
85', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 7th in the 3rd Division (Relegation Group: ) and 6th in the Promotion ~ 3rd Division (Promotion Group: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Næsby may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Næsby is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Naesby	10	5	2	3	20:14	6	17
5	Helsingor	10	5	2	3	18:14	4	17

Last Results with these Odds

Næsby - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.95%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Helsingør - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 34.94%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Næsby BK
Danish Landspokal Cup
16.09.26	Næsby - Horsens	2:3 ✺
Danish 3 Division
13.09.26	ASA Aarhus - Næsby	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Næsby - Hørsholm-Usserød	4:3 ✺
29.08.26	Holbæk - Næsby	3:2 ✺
22.08.26	Ishøj IF - Næsby	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLW
- FC Helsingør
Danish 3 Division
13.09.26	Helsingør - Sundby	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Brønshøj BK - Helsingør	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Helsingør - Ishøj IF	1:0 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
25.08.26	Helsingør - Hørsholm-Usserød	2:5 ✺
Danish 3 Division
22.08.26	Holstebro - Helsingør	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLWLL

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