Match Info

3rd Division - Round 10

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: ALPI Arena Naesby (Odense)


	Næsby		Holstebro

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.33	4.10
	1.53	4.35	4.35
	1.59	4.44	4.18
	1.59	4.49	4.26	Watch
	1.57	4.35	4.1
	1.61	4.68	4.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.85)	4.44 ↑ (3.97)	4.21 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Næsby
57.9%

Draw
20.5%

Holstebro
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

23.3%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

22.7%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Næsby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Næsby's performance.

Holstebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Holstebro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Næsby than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Næsby that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstebro than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Næsby - Holstebro Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Næsby will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
80', 3 - 0, ⚽,
86', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 6th in the Promotion - 3rd Division (Promotion Group: ) and 7th in the 3rd Division (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Næsby won 2.

Næsby has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Holstebro has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this matchup, Næsby is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Næsby has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:6 (averaging 1.5:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Næsby against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 4:4 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Naesby	10	5	2	3	20:14	6	17
7	Holstebro	10	4	1	5	16:22	-6	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Næsby BK
Danish 3 Division
26.09.26	Ringsted - Næsby	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Næsby - Helsingør	1:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
16.09.26	Næsby - Horsens	2:3 ✺
Danish 3 Division
13.09.26	ASA Aarhus - Næsby	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Næsby - Hørsholm-Usserød	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTLLW
- Holstebro BK
Danish 3 Division
26.09.26	Holstebro - Ishøj IF	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	Sundby - Holstebro	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Holstebro - BK Frem	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Holstebro - Vanløse	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	ASA Aarhus - Holstebro	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 3 Division
03.11.24	Holstebro - Næsby	0:2
10.08.24	Næsby - Holstebro	0:2
28.03.24	Holstebro - Næsby	1:0
30.09.23	Næsby - Holstebro	1:2
12.03.23	Holstebro - Næsby	0:1
03.09.22	Næsby - Holstebro	2:0
Danish 2 Division - Group 1
01.05.21	Næsby - Holstebro	1:0

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