Match Info

Premier League - Round 24

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Football Academy Stadium (Yerevan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Armenia	Fast Sports


	BKMA Yerevan		Alashkert

	1	X	2
	7.1	4.25	1.37
	7.42	4.56	1.38
	7.32	4.57	1.37	Watch
	7	4	1.4
	8.05	4.33	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.38 ↑ (5.64)	4.34 ↑ (4.15)	1.37 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BKMA Yerevan
12.4%

Draw
21%

Alashkert
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

22.1%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8%

21.4%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BKMA Yerevan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Alashkert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BKMA Yerevan than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alashkert than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

BKMA Yerevan - Alashkert Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Davtyan D. (G) 49. Khachatryan A. 5. Manukyan P. 6. Petrosyan A. 3. Arakelyan G. 13. Sargsyan H. 9. Ayvazyan M. 11. Harutyunyan D. 35. Alekyan P. 7. Hovhannisyan N. 10. Petrosyan G.	24. Beglaryan A. (G) 22. Hakobyan R. 4. Matyukhin Y. 44. Klaidher 15. Sadoyan A. 88. Rafael Jesus 6. Piloyan E. 10. Farayola O. 7. Nalbandyan K. 25. Caio Henrique 11. Toure M.
Substitutes
52. Arakelyan A. 4. Avetisyan M. 19. Galstyan A. 91. Ghazaryan H. (G) 51. Kirakosyan S. 14. Krmzyan P. 47. Manukyan H. 55. Movsesyan A. 8. Movsisyan S. 23. Petrosyan A. 42. Sargsyan H.	28. Ajibona U. 13. Ayvazov A. (G) 77. Campos J. 8. Gareginyan Y. 21. Granado J. 2. Grigoryan S. 66. Kankanyan M. 9. Khalil S. 73. Kirakosyan D. 18. Nduka I. D. 17. Sabobo J. 5. Terteryan D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Nalbandyan K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 0 - 2, Toure M. ⚽,
79', 1 - 2, Kirakosyan S. ⚽,
82', 2 - 2, Manukyan P. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, BKMA won 2.

BKMA has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alashkert is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

BKMA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alashkert is seen as the favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, BKMA won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 12:41. (average 0.6:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, BKMA won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:25. (average 0.8:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Alashkert	8	4	3	1	18:6	12	15
9	BKMA	8	2	2	4	8:10	-2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BKMA Yerevan
Armenian Premier League
23.04.26	Van - BKMA Yerevan	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	BKMA Yerevan - Gandzasar	1:1 ✺
16.04.26	Shirak Gyumri - BKMA Yerevan	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	BKMA Yerevan - Shirak Gyumri	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Noah Yerevan - BKMA Yerevan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTTTL
- Alashkert FC
Armenian Premier League
25.04.26	Alashkert - Noah Yerevan	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Urartu Yerevan - Alashkert	1:3 ✺
14.04.26	Alashkert - Ararat	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Ararat - Alashkert	2:3 ✺
06.04.26	Ararat-Armenia - Alashkert	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Armenian Premier League
08.11.25	Alashkert - BKMA Yerevan	2:0
13.09.25	BKMA Yerevan - Alashkert	1:3
22.05.25	BKMA Yerevan - Alashkert	2:0
27.10.24	Alashkert - BKMA Yerevan	2:0
07.10.24	BKMA Yerevan - Alashkert	1:0
28.04.24	Alashkert - BKMA Yerevan	0:0
27.02.24	BKMA Yerevan - Alashkert	0:6

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